Sport Picks
Chatenoy W vs Cannes W
France
Coupe de France Women 2024/2025 
Match Events
23'
23'
Froment M.
(Penalty)
47'
47'
Lordon L.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Cannes W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cannes W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Chatenoy W come out ahead of Cannes W on wins alone.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Cannes W taking it.
- Chatenoy W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cannes W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Chatenoy W Clean Sheet 10%
Cannes W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chatenoy W | Cannes W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 9 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 22 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 2.22 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.13 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 12, 2025 Coupe de France Women
Chatenoy W vs Cannes W
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chatenoy W Compare
Top Goalscorer Lordon L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Cannes W Compare
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chatenoy W 10 / 100
Cannes W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chatenoy W Cannes W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cannes W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cannes W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 9 matches.
Attacking prowess: Chatenoy W scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Chatenoy W stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chatenoy W VS Cannes W
1 Goals Scored 1.75
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Chatenoy W
(Home) 25 Jan
Chatenoy W
1 : 2 Caen W
11 Jan
Troyes W
1 : 3 Chatenoy W
12 Jan
Chatenoy W
1 : 2 Cannes W
27 May
Veore Montoison W
3 : 1 Chatenoy W
20 May
Chatenoy W
2 : 5 Monteux W
Page 1 of 6
25 Jan
Chatenoy W
1 : 2 Caen W
12 Jan
Chatenoy W
1 : 2 Cannes W
20 May
Chatenoy W
2 : 5 Monteux W
15 Apr
Chatenoy W
1 : 2 US Blanzy Foot W
18 Mar
Chatenoy W
0 : 1 Le Puy W
Page 1 of 4
Cannes W
(Away) 20 Sept
Roubaix W
5 : 1 Cannes W
13 Sept
Cannes W
5 : 1 Grenoble W
06 Sept
Nice W
1 : 1 Cannes W
22 Aug
Cannes W
4 : 5 Thonon Evian W
16 Aug
Cannes W
3 : 1 Nice W
Page 1 of 2
20 Sept
Roubaix W
5 : 1 Cannes W
06 Sept
Nice W
1 : 1 Cannes W
12 Jan
Chatenoy W
1 : 2 Cannes W
29 Jan
Nantes W
6 : 1 Cannes W
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Bourges 18 W 0
Montpellier W 4
Quevilly W 0
Le Havre W 1
Toulouse W 3
Nice W 0
Orvault W 0
Fleury 91 W 12
Roubaix W 0
Paris FC W 5
La Roche W 2
Lorient W 1
Thonon Evian W 3
Rodez AF W 0
Clermont W 0
Dijon W 6
Saint-Maur W 0
Strasbourg W 4
Lille W 4
Guingamp W 1
Reims W 1
OL Lyonnes W 0
St Etienne W 2
Marseille W 1
Chatenoy W 1
Cannes W 2
Orleans W 0
Le Mans W 2
Metz W 0
Nantes W 3
CB Angers W 0
PSG W 3
1/8-finals
Montpellier W 0
Le Havre W 2
Toulouse W 4
Fleury 91 W 3
Paris FC W 6
La Roche W 0
Thonon Evian W 0
Dijon W 2
Strasbourg W 1
Lille W 2
Reims W 0
St Etienne W 2
Cannes W 0
Le Mans W 5
Nantes W 1
PSG W 6
Quarter-finals
Le Havre W 2
Toulouse W 1
Paris FC W 2
Dijon W 0
Lille W 0
St Etienne W 3
Le Mans W 0
PSG W 4
Semi-finals
Le Havre W 1
Paris FC W 2
St Etienne W 1
PSG W 2
Final
Paris FC W 1
PSG W 0
