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Chatham vs Herne Bay

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Taylor J.
83' Event
Gard L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Chatham and Herne Bay finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Herne Bay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Chatham
15%
Draws
37%
Herne Bay
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chatham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Chatham carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Chatham's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Chatham have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Chatham Clean Sheet 10%
Herne Bay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chatham Herne Bay
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 2.14 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Chatham vs Herne Bay
0:2
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Herne Bay vs Chatham
2:3
Sep 15, 2012 FA Trophy
Herne Bay vs Chatham
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chatham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Herne Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Taylor J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gard L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chatham 40 / 100
Herne Bay 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chatham Herne Bay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chatham found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Herne Bay has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Chatham has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chatham VS Herne Bay
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chatham

(Home)
26 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
3 : 1
Chatham
19 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 1
Chatham
15 Sept
Eastbourne Borough
2 : 1
Chatham
12 Sept
Chatham
3 : 2
Lewes
05 Sept
Egham Town
0 : 4
Chatham
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Herne Bay

(Away)
12 Sept
Herne Bay
0 : 1
Southall FC
29 Aug
Herne Bay
4 : 3
Kingstonian
28 Jul
Dover Ath.
2 : 2
Herne Bay
07 Jul
Chatham
0 : 2
Herne Bay
06 Sept
Herne Bay
0 : 3
Ashford United
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