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Chatham vs Welling - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Stevenson B.
65' Event
Salami K.
69' Event
Anyadike D.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division game between Chatham and Welling finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chatham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Chatham
15%
Draws
51%
Welling
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Welling

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Welling carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Chatham's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Chatham here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Chatham Clean Sheet 17%
Welling Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chatham Welling
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 15 16
Draws 2 3
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 2.03 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Welling
3:2
Feb 21, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Welling
3:1
Nov 25, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Welling vs Chatham
0:1
Sep 14, 2024 FA Cup
Welling vs Chatham
0:1
Jul 24, 2021 Club Friendly
Chatham vs Welling
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chatham Compare

Top Goalscorer Stevenson B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salami K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Welling Compare

Top Goalscorer Anyadike D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader O’Keefe Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chatham 57 / 100
Welling 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chatham Welling

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chatham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chatham's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Welling's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Chatham has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chatham VS Welling
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chatham

(Home)
20 Oct
Dulwich Hamlet
0 : 4
Chatham
17 Oct
Aveley
1 : 0
Chatham
10 Oct
Chatham
3 : 0
Brentwood
03 Oct
Dorking Wanderers
1 : 0
Chatham
26 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
3 : 1
Chatham
Page 1 of 6

Welling

(Away)
17 Oct
Welling
4 : 2
Burgess Hill
10 Oct
Eastbourne Borough
1 : 0
Welling
06 Oct
Maldon & Tiptree
0 : 1
Welling
03 Oct
Welling
1 : 0
Whyteleafe
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3
Chertsey Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 12 9 1 2 33:16 28
2 Welling 12 9 0 3 24:12 27
3 Lewes 13 8 2 3 20:14 26
4 Dartford 13 8 0 5 19:17 24
5 Ramsgate 13 7 1 5 29:17 22
6 Eastbourne Borough 11 7 1 3 21:11 22
7 Carshalton 15 7 1 7 23:28 22
8 Burgess Hill 12 5 5 2 23:17 20
9 Wingate & Finchley 12 6 2 4 24:23 20
10 Chatham 11 6 0 5 23:14 18
11 St. Albans 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
12 Dulwich Hamlet 12 5 2 5 20:20 17
13 Leatherhead 10 4 3 3 18:17 15
14 Whyteleafe 14 4 3 7 22:25 15
15 Cheshunt 12 3 6 3 12:15 15
16 Aveley 13 4 2 7 20:21 14
17 Maldon & Tiptree 14 4 1 9 18:35 13
18 Cray Wanderers 9 3 3 3 19:14 12
19 Brentwood 11 4 0 7 18:19 12
20 Three Bridges 13 2 3 8 23:36 9
21 Whitehawk 13 1 3 9 12:32 6
22 Stanway Rovers 12 1 1 10 9:32 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)