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Chatham vs Wingate & Finchley

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Oldfield S.
27' Event
Hobden O.
53' Event
Moynes K.

AI Match Summary

Chatham in this Isthmian League Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chatham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Chatham
6%
Draws
4%
Wingate & Finchley
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chatham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chatham have won more games recently than Wingate & Finchley.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Chatham taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chatham have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Chatham Clean Sheet 20%
Wingate & Finchley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chatham Wingate & Finchley
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 15 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Wingate & Finchley
4:0
Sep 6, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Chatham
0:3
Jan 11, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Wingate & Finchley
3:1
Nov 19, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Chatham
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 FA Trophy
Chatham vs Wingate & Finchley
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chatham Compare

Top Goalscorer Oldfield S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hobden O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Wingate & Finchley Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chatham 85 / 100
Wingate & Finchley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chatham Wingate & Finchley

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wingate & Finchley let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Chatham found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Chatham went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chatham VS Wingate & Finchley
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Folkestone422994102:4096
2Aveley422412690:5184
3Billericay422410881:4882
4Chatham422471183:3579
5Brentwood422461284:6678
6Dartford4220121081:5572
7Cray Wanderers421716979:7167
8Burgess Hill422071576:8167
9Dulwich Hamlet4217111461:5362
10Ramsgate4215121573:6857
11St. Albans421681871:5956
12Chichester City4214131557:6355
13Cheshunt4212141665:7050
14Whitehawk4212131758:7249
15Welling421532454:7548
16Wingate & Finchley4212102055:6746
17Lewes421372247:8346
18Carshalton4210141861:7344
19Cray Valley421192254:8042
20Hashtag421192260:8742
21Potters42933046:9430
22Canvey Island42692740:8727