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Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Athletic Club Boise - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One CHI Memorial Stadium, East Ridge, TN
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Match Events

26' Event
Moshobane T.
Assist: Moon N.
37'
Crull J.
38'
Kelly-Rosales A.

AI Match Summary

Athletic Club Boise in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Athletic Club Boise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
30%
Draws
47%
Athletic Club Boise
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Athletic Club Boise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Chattanooga Red Wolves haven't matched Athletic Club Boise's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 14%
Athletic Club Boise Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chattanooga Red Wolves Athletic Club Boise
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.6 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Athletic Club Boise
2:3
May 3, 2026 USL League One
Athletic Club Boise vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare

Top Goalscorer Lelin Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Athletic Club Boise Compare

Top Goalscorer Moshobane T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moon N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chattanooga Red Wolves 31 / 100
Athletic Club Boise 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chattanooga Red Wolves Athletic Club Boise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chattanooga Red Wolves's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Athletic Club Boise has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Chattanooga Red Wolves has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chattanooga Red Wolves VS Athletic Club Boise
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chattanooga Red Wolves

(Home)
07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 0
Corpus Christi FC
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1
Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1
Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 6

Athletic Club Boise

(Away)
03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0
Greenville Triumph
27 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
2 : 1
Athletic Club Boise
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2
Athletic Club Boise
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
12 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Omaha 29 19 4 6 53:31 61
2 Charlotte Independence 29 18 6 5 67:42 60
3 Forward Madison 29 15 7 7 50:27 52
4 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
5 Athletic Club Boise 29 14 7 8 45:39 49
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 29 11 9 9 45:37 42
9 FC Naples 29 11 4 14 34:44 37
10 Corpus Christi FC 29 9 9 11 33:43 36
11 Westchester SC 29 9 6 14 48:46 33
12 Sarasota Paradise 28 9 6 13 39:43 33
13 AV Alta FC 29 8 8 13 35:42 32
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 29 7 10 12 43:53 31
15 New York Cosmos 28 7 4 17 36:56 25
16 Greenville Triumph 28 6 5 17 30:52 23
17 Richmond Kickers 29 6 5 18 30:60 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)