Sport Picks
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs AV Alta FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One CHI Memorial Stadium, East Ridge, TN 
Match Events
17'
17'
Mensah R.
Assist: Wessels W.
39'
39'
Sub
Mensah R. In: Bentley M.
Out: Mensah R.
45'
45'
Kelly-Rosales A.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between Chattanooga Red Wolves and AV Alta FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chattanooga Red Wolves.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
20%
16%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chattanooga Red Wolves
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Chattanooga Red Wolves carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Chattanooga Red Wolves's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 20%
AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chattanooga Red Wolves | AV Alta FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 15, 2026 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs AV Alta FC
1:0
Mar 29, 2026 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs AV Alta FC
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare
Top Goalscorer Mensah R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
AV Alta FC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chattanooga Red Wolves 58 / 100
AV Alta FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chattanooga Red Wolves AV Alta FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chattanooga Red Wolves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chattanooga Red Wolves found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
AV Alta FC let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Away concern: AV Alta FC has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Chattanooga Red Wolves VS AV Alta FC
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Chattanooga Red Wolves
(Home) 07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 0 Corpus Christi FC
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 0 Corpus Christi FC
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
16 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 Forward Madison
05 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 1 Greenville Triumph
Page 1 of 4
AV Alta FC
(Away) 11 Oct
AV Alta FC
2 : 2 Greenville Triumph
03 Oct
Westchester SC
2 : 1 AV Alta FC
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Westchester SC
2 : 1 AV Alta FC
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
28 Aug
Charlotte Independence
5 : 0 AV Alta FC
15 Aug
New York Cosmos
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70:42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53:32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52:30 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 49:36 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 43:36 | 50 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 35:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 42:45 | 36 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33:44 | 36 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 37:44 | 33 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44:55 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 32:54 | 24 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:63 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
