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Chattanooga Red Wolves vs One Knoxville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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USL League One CHI Memorial Stadium, East Ridge, TN
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Match Events

19'
Perkins W.
32'
Diene B.
36'
Ayimbila J.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Chattanooga Red Wolves and One Knoxville finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chattanooga Red Wolves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
20%
Draws
51%
One Knoxville
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: One Knoxville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Chattanooga Red Wolves have managed 1.62 goals a game lately — One Knoxville are scoring more at 1.68.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 19%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chattanooga Red Wolves One Knoxville
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.62 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
3:0
Jul 25, 2026 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs One Knoxville
1:0
Jun 10, 2026 USL Cup
One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:1
Oct 1, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:0
Jul 26, 2025 USL Cup
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs One Knoxville
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

One Knoxville Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chattanooga Red Wolves 36 / 100
One Knoxville 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chattanooga Red Wolves One Knoxville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick One Knoxville Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chattanooga Red Wolves found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

One Knoxville let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Chattanooga Red Wolves stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chattanooga Red Wolves VS One Knoxville
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chattanooga Red Wolves

(Home)
07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 0
Corpus Christi FC
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1
Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1
Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 6

One Knoxville

(Away)
07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2
One Knoxville
27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0
Westchester SC
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1
One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3
One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 30 19 6 5 70:42 63
2 Union Omaha 30 19 4 7 53:32 61
3 Forward Madison 30 15 7 8 52:30 52
4 Athletic Club Boise 30 15 7 8 47:40 52
5 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 30 12 9 9 46:37 45
9 FC Naples 29 11 4 14 34:44 37
10 Westchester SC 30 10 6 14 51:48 36
11 Corpus Christi FC 29 9 9 11 33:43 36
12 Sarasota Paradise 28 9 6 13 39:43 33
13 AV Alta FC 29 8 8 13 35:42 32
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 30 7 10 13 44:55 31
15 New York Cosmos 29 7 4 18 36:59 25
16 Greenville Triumph 28 6 5 17 30:52 23
17 Richmond Kickers 29 6 5 18 30:60 23
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)