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Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine

USA USA

USL League One 2025 CHI Memorial Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Green K.
53'
Keegan J.
55' Event
Wright O.
Assist: Keegan J.

AI Match Summary

Portland Hearts of Pine in this USL League One 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portland Hearts of Pine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
30%
Draws
34%
Portland Hearts of Pine
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chattanooga Red Wolves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Portland Hearts of Pine at 2 per game, Chattanooga Red Wolves at 1.75.
  • Model gives Chattanooga Red Wolves a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League One 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 14%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chattanooga Red Wolves Portland Hearts of Pine
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1:1
Jun 7, 2025 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Portland Hearts of Pine Compare

Top Goalscorer Wright O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chattanooga Red Wolves 35 / 100
Portland Hearts of Pine 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chattanooga Red Wolves Portland Hearts of Pine

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Hearts of Pine has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Chattanooga Red Wolves scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Chattanooga Red Wolves stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chattanooga Red Wolves VS Portland Hearts of Pine
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
One Knoxville2
Charlotte Independence1
FC Naples1
Union Omaha0
Spokane Velocity2
South Georgia Tormenta1
Chattanooga Red Wolves0
Portland Hearts of Pine1
Semi-finals
One Knoxville1
FC Naples0
Spokane Velocity3
Portland Hearts of Pine2
Final
One Knoxville2
Spokane Velocity0