Sport Picks
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One CHI Memorial Stadium, East Ridge, TN 
Match Events
13'
13'
Sub
Wright O. In: Felipe
Out: Wright O.
22'
22'
Knapp M.
39'
39'
Felipe
Assist: Kidd M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portland Hearts of Pine
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chattanooga Red Wolves lately — more wins on the board than Portland Hearts of Pine.
- 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 19%
Portland Hearts of Pine Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chattanooga Red Wolves | Portland Hearts of Pine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine
1:1
Jun 13, 2026 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 USL League One
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1:1
Jun 7, 2025 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Portland Hearts of Pine
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare
Top Goalscorer Hernandez O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Portland Hearts of Pine Compare
Top Goalscorer Felipe
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chattanooga Red Wolves 31 / 100
Portland Hearts of Pine 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chattanooga Red Wolves Portland Hearts of Pine
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chattanooga Red Wolves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chattanooga Red Wolves scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Portland Hearts of Pine has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Chattanooga Red Wolves stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chattanooga Red Wolves VS Portland Hearts of Pine
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Chattanooga Red Wolves
(Home) 07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 0 Corpus Christi FC
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 0 Corpus Christi FC
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
16 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 Forward Madison
05 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 1 Greenville Triumph
Page 1 of 4
Portland Hearts of Pine
(Away) 10 Oct
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
26 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4 Sarasota Paradise
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
02 Sept
Charlotte Independence
3 : 2 Portland Hearts of Pine
22 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
19 Aug
One Knoxville
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 70:42 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 53:32 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 52:30 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 47:40 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46:37 | 45 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 51:48 | 36 |
| 11 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 44:55 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 36:59 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
