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Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Richmond Kickers

USA USA

USL League One CHI Memorial Stadium, East Ridge, TN
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Mensah R.
Assist: Bentley M.
11' Event
Tapia O.
12'
Fillion Y.

AI Match Summary

Chattanooga Red Wolves in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chattanooga Red Wolves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
30%
Draws
8%
Richmond Kickers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chattanooga Red Wolves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chattanooga Red Wolves lately — more wins on the board than Richmond Kickers.
  • Win probability leans Chattanooga Red Wolves's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 19%
Richmond Kickers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chattanooga Red Wolves Richmond Kickers
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 6
Draws 3 4
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.64 1
Goals Conceded 1.46 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1:1
May 27, 2026 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Richmond Kickers
5:0
Jul 12, 2025 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
0:2
May 10, 2025 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Richmond Kickers
0:0
Oct 19, 2024 USL League One
Richmond Kickers vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare

Top Goalscorer Mensah R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tapia O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Richmond Kickers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chattanooga Red Wolves 76 / 100
Richmond Kickers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chattanooga Red Wolves Richmond Kickers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chattanooga Red Wolves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chattanooga Red Wolves found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Richmond Kickers conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Chattanooga Red Wolves remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chattanooga Red Wolves VS Richmond Kickers
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chattanooga Red Wolves

(Home)
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0
Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1
Portland Hearts of Pine
16 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0
Forward Madison
12 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
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Richmond Kickers

(Away)
27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2
Richmond Kickers
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2
Charlotte Independence
16 Sept
Westchester SC
5 : 2
Richmond Kickers
12 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
02 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 0
Richmond Kickers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Omaha 29 19 4 6 53:31 61
2 Charlotte Independence 28 17 6 5 64:40 57
3 Forward Madison 28 15 6 7 50:27 51
4 One Knoxville 28 13 9 6 44:31 48
5 Athletic Club Boise 28 13 7 8 44:39 46
6 Chattanooga Red Wolves 27 13 4 10 47:39 43
7 Spokane Velocity 25 13 4 8 37:33 43
8 Fort Wayne 27 10 8 9 42:36 38
9 Corpus Christi FC 27 9 9 9 32:37 36
10 Sarasota Paradise 27 9 6 12 37:40 33
11 AV Alta FC 28 8 8 12 34:40 32
12 FC Naples 27 9 4 14 30:43 31
13 Westchester SC 28 8 6 14 46:45 30
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 28 7 9 12 40:50 30
15 New York Cosmos 27 7 4 16 35:54 25
16 Greenville Triumph 27 6 5 16 30:51 23
17 Richmond Kickers 27 5 5 17 27:56 20
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)