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Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Union Omaha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One CHI Memorial Stadium, East Ridge, TN
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Match Events

3' Event
Ors Navarro S.
Assist: Guediri S.
22'
Hernandez O.
35'
Guediri S.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Chattanooga Red Wolves and Union Omaha finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Omaha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
15%
Draws
67%
Union Omaha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Omaha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Union Omaha carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Union Omaha are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 17%
Union Omaha Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chattanooga Red Wolves Union Omaha
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 17
Draws 3 4
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.6 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Union Omaha
1:3
May 24, 2026 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Union Omaha
0:3
Aug 9, 2025 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:2
Jul 28, 2024 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Union Omaha Compare

Top Goalscorer Ors Navarro S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gavilanes A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chattanooga Red Wolves 20 / 100
Union Omaha 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chattanooga Red Wolves Union Omaha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Omaha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chattanooga Red Wolves scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Union Omaha has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Chattanooga Red Wolves remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chattanooga Red Wolves VS Union Omaha
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chattanooga Red Wolves

(Home)
07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 0
Corpus Christi FC
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1
Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1
Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 6

Union Omaha

(Away)
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3
Union Omaha
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1
One Knoxville
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1
Spokane Velocity
13 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 2
Union Omaha
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0
Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Omaha 29 19 4 6 53:31 61
2 Charlotte Independence 29 18 6 5 67:42 60
3 Forward Madison 29 15 7 7 50:27 52
4 One Knoxville 30 14 9 7 49:34 51
5 Athletic Club Boise 29 14 7 8 45:39 49
6 Spokane Velocity 27 14 5 8 41:36 47
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 30 14 4 12 50:43 46
8 Fort Wayne 29 11 9 9 45:37 42
9 FC Naples 29 11 4 14 34:44 37
10 Corpus Christi FC 29 9 9 11 33:43 36
11 Westchester SC 29 9 6 14 48:46 33
12 Sarasota Paradise 28 9 6 13 39:43 33
13 AV Alta FC 29 8 8 13 35:42 32
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 29 7 10 12 43:53 31
15 New York Cosmos 28 7 4 17 36:56 25
16 Greenville Triumph 28 6 5 17 30:52 23
17 Richmond Kickers 29 6 5 18 30:60 23
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