Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chattanooga vs Chicago Fire II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Finley Stadium, Chattanooga, TN
Chattanooga Logo

Chattanooga

Sat, Jun 27, 2026
3 - 2
11:00 PM
Chicago Fire II Logo

Chicago Fire II

Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Husakiwsky L.
40'
Sub
Ancelin K. In: Cohen Y.
Out: Ancelin K.
45' Event
McGrath A.
Assist: Mangarov D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chattanooga in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chattanooga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Chattanooga
15%
Draws
17%
Chicago Fire II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chattanooga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Chattanooga have won more games recently than Chicago Fire II.
  • Model gives Chattanooga a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Chattanooga Clean Sheet 10%
Chicago Fire II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chattanooga Chicago Fire II
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 21 15
Draws 0 1
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs Chattanooga
0:1
Jun 27, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Chattanooga vs Chicago Fire II
3:2
Mar 15, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs Chattanooga
2:1
Jul 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Chattanooga vs Chicago Fire II
0:1
Jun 7, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs Chattanooga
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chattanooga Compare

Top Goalscorer McGrath A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barker D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Chicago Fire II Compare

Top Goalscorer Villanueva D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chattanooga 83 / 100
Chicago Fire II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chattanooga Chicago Fire II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chattanooga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chattanooga scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Chicago Fire II conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Chattanooga stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chattanooga VS Chicago Fire II
2.13 Goals Scored 2.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Chattanooga

(Home)
20 Sept
Chicago Fire II
0 : 1
Chattanooga
13 Sept
Chattanooga
4 : 1
Atlanta United 2
10 Sept
Huntsville City
1 : 2
Chattanooga
29 Aug
Chattanooga
5 : 2
Carolina Core
23 Aug
Crown Legacy
3 : 1
Chattanooga
Page 1 of 7

Chicago Fire II

(Away)
20 Sept
Chicago Fire II
0 : 1
Chattanooga
13 Sept
Chicago Fire II
1 : 2
Philadelphia Union II
04 Sept
Crown Legacy
4 : 0
Chicago Fire II
30 Aug
Columbus Crew 2
4 : 0
Chicago Fire II
23 Aug
Chicago Fire II
3 : 1
Inter Miami II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)