Sport Picks
Chattanooga vs New York City II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Next Pro Finley Stadium, Chattanooga, TN 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. New York City II have shipped 1.72 goals a game lately, while Chattanooga have conceded 1.39 and scored 2.1. Past meetings favor Chattanooga slightly — 2-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (2.00 - 1.75) back Chattanooga to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- New York City II haven't matched Chattanooga's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Chattanooga's way, sitting at 80%.
- Chattanooga have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Chattanooga here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chattanooga | New York City II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 22 | 16 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Chattanooga scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.
New York City II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.33 goals.
Recent resilience: Chattanooga stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
