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Chauray vs Avranches

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National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Agamah H.

AI Match Summary

Chauray in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chauray.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Chauray
30%
Draws
62%
Avranches
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Avranches

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Avranches have won more games recently than Chauray.
  • Avranches are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Chauray Clean Sheet 12%
Avranches Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chauray Avranches
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 11
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Chauray vs Avranches
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Avranches vs Chauray
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chauray Compare

Top Goalscorer Agamah H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Avranches Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chauray 10 / 100
Avranches 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chauray Avranches

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avranches Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avranches let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Chauray scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Chauray has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chauray VS Avranches
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chauray

(Home)
19 Sept
Dinan
2 : 1
Chauray
11 Sept
Chauray
1 : 2
Les Herbiers
04 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 0
Chauray
29 Aug
Chauray
0 : 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
22 Aug
Lorient II
3 : 1
Chauray
Page 1 of 6

Avranches

(Away)
18 Sept
St. Colomban Locmine
1 : 0
Avranches
12 Sept
Avranches
0 : 0
Dinan
04 Sept
Les Herbiers
1 : 2
Avranches
28 Aug
Avranches
1 : 1
Angouleme CFC
22 Aug
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
0 : 3
Avranches
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)