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Chauray vs Saint-Malo

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Guiheneuf M.
50' Event
Bangoura D.

AI Match Summary

Saint-Malo in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint-Malo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Chauray
30%
Draws
62%
Saint-Malo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saint-Malo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Saint-Malo lately — more wins on the board than Chauray.
  • Win probability leans Saint-Malo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Chauray Clean Sheet 23%
Saint-Malo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chauray Saint-Malo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 10
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.14 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Chauray vs Saint-Malo
0:1
Dec 6, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Saint-Malo vs Chauray
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chauray Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Saint-Malo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bangoura D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chauray 10 / 100
Saint-Malo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chauray Saint-Malo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint-Malo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Saint-Malo let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Chauray's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Chauray has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chauray VS Saint-Malo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chauray

(Home)
11 Sept
Chauray
1 : 2
Les Herbiers
04 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 0
Chauray
29 Aug
Chauray
0 : 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
22 Aug
Lorient II
3 : 1
Chauray
16 May
Chauray
0 : 1
Granville
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Saint-Malo

(Away)
19 Sept
Granville
1 : 0
Saint-Malo
13 Sept
Saint-Malo
1 : 0
St. Colomban Locmine
04 Sept
Saint-Malo
0 : 0
Stade Briochin
28 Aug
Le Poire Sur Vie
0 : 4
Saint-Malo
22 Aug
Saint-Malo
1 : 1
Pontivy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)