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Chavdar Etropole vs Botev Ihtiman

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West game between Chavdar Etropole and Botev Ihtiman finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Ihtiman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Chavdar Etropole
15%
Draws
68%
Botev Ihtiman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Ihtiman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Botev Ihtiman carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Botev Ihtiman are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Chavdar Etropole Clean Sheet 10%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chavdar Etropole Botev Ihtiman
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 1 5
Losses 24 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.62 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Botev Ihtiman
1:4
May 1, 2024 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Chavdar Etropole
3:0
Nov 8, 2023 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Botev Ihtiman
1:0
Feb 25, 2023 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Botev Ihtiman
3:1
Sep 30, 2022 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Chavdar Etropole
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chavdar Etropole 10 / 100
Botev Ihtiman 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chavdar Etropole Botev Ihtiman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Ihtiman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botev Ihtiman let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Chavdar Etropole scored in 28% of their last 29 outings.

Chavdar Etropole went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chavdar Etropole VS Botev Ihtiman
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chavdar Etropole

(Home)
12 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
4 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4
Botev Ihtiman
29 Aug
Kyustendil
3 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
22 Aug
Chavdar Etropole
4 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
15 Aug
Strumska Slava
2 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
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Botev Ihtiman

(Away)
12 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 2
Natsional Sofia
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4
Botev Ihtiman
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
22 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
15 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
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