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Chavdar Etropole vs Oborishte Panagyurishte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - South-West matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Chavdar Etropole
15%
Draws
53%
Oborishte Panagyurishte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oborishte Panagyurishte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Oborishte Panagyurishte have won more games recently than Chavdar Etropole.
  • Win probability leans Oborishte Panagyurishte's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Chavdar Etropole Clean Sheet 10%
Oborishte Panagyurishte Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chavdar Etropole Oborishte Panagyurishte
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 3 16
Draws 1 7
Losses 24 7
Goals Scored 0.43 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.75 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
1:1
Jun 1, 2024 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Chavdar Etropole
3:0
Nov 18, 2023 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
8:0
Mar 16, 2022 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
1:0
Aug 21, 2021 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Chavdar Etropole
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chavdar Etropole 22 / 100
Oborishte Panagyurishte 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chavdar Etropole Oborishte Panagyurishte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oborishte Panagyurishte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Oborishte Panagyurishte let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Chavdar Etropole scored in 29% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Chavdar Etropole remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chavdar Etropole VS Oborishte Panagyurishte
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Chavdar Etropole

(Home)
03 Oct
Chavdar Etropole
2 : 1
Slivnishki Geroy
26 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
19 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 3
Levski Sofia II
12 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
4 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4
Botev Ihtiman
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Oborishte Panagyurishte

(Away)
07 Oct
Oborishte Panagyurishte
2 : 2
Kyustendil
04 Oct
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 3
Yantra Gabrovo
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3
Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
3 : 2
Strumska Slava
13 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 0
Belasitsa Petrich
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