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Chavdar Etropole vs Shumen 2010

Bulgaria Bulgaria

B PFG 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chavdar Etropole play Shumen 2010 in the B PFG 2012/2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chavdar Etropole averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.09 conceded. Shumen 2010 averaged 1.17 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. In past meetings, Chavdar Etropole won 2, Shumen 2010 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 14, 2013 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.67 for Chavdar Etropole and 1.81 for Shumen 2010. This points to a Chavdar Etropole double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Chavdar Etropole
15%
Draws
37%
Shumen 2010
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chavdar Etropole

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Chavdar Etropole picked up more points recently compared to Shumen 2010.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.67 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Chavdar Etropole Clean Sheet 11%
Shumen 2010 Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chavdar Etropole Shumen 2010
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 2 5
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 1.03 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.09 2.37

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2013 Vtora liga
Chavdar Etropole vs Shumen 2010
1:0
Sep 30, 2012 Vtora liga
Shumen 2010 vs Chavdar Etropole
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chavdar Etropole 45 / 100
Shumen 2010 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chavdar Etropole Shumen 2010

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chavdar Etropole or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chavdar Etropole attacking → ← attacking Shumen 2010

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chavdar Etropole scored in 46% of their last 35 games.

Shumen 2010 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Chavdar Etropole went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Shumen 2010 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 29
0.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Neftochimic Burgas26166449:2254
2Lyubimets 200726163744:2851
3Rakovski 201126139438:2848
4Svetkavitsa26138534:2047
5Bansko26137648:2646
6Spartak Pleven26119633:2542
7Spartak Varna26108826:1938
8Chavdar Etropole261141131:3237
9Kaliakra26971033:3134
10Pirin Razlog2689933:2833
11Vidima-Rakovski26851333:3129
12Shumen 201026851332:5229
13Septemvri Simitli26431918:3915
14Sliven2601254:75-2