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Chavdar Troyan vs Sevlievo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West game between Chavdar Troyan and Sevlievo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chavdar Troyan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Chavdar Troyan
30%
Draws
37%
Sevlievo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sevlievo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sevlievo come out ahead of Chavdar Troyan on wins alone.
  • Sevlievo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Chavdar Troyan Clean Sheet 20%
Sevlievo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chavdar Troyan Sevlievo
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.79 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Third League - North-West
Chavdar Troyan vs Sevlievo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chavdar Troyan 20 / 100
Sevlievo 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chavdar Troyan Sevlievo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sevlievo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chavdar Troyan scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Sevlievo let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Chavdar Troyan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Chavdar Troyan VS Sevlievo
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 3.13
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Chavdar Troyan

(Home)
04 Oct
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Marek
26 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 1
Chavdar Troyan
19 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Sevlievo
05 Sept
OFK Levski
0 : 0
Chavdar Troyan
29 Aug
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Pavlikeni
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Sevlievo

(Away)
19 Sept
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Sevlievo
12 Sept
Sevlievo
2 : 0
OFK Levski
05 Sept
Pavlikeni
0 : 1
Sevlievo
29 Aug
Sevlievo
2 : 2
Spartak Pleven II
22 Aug
Sevlievo
2 : 2
Lokomotiv Mezdra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademik Svishtov 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 Lokomotiv Mezdra 5 2 3 0 9:4 9
3 Bdin Vidin 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
4 Kom Berkovitsa 6 2 3 1 11:11 9
5 Yantra Polski Trambesh 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
6 Sevlievo 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
7 Chavdar Troyan 5 2 2 1 4:4 8
8 Partizan Cerven Brjag 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
9 OFK Levski 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
10 Spartak Pleven II 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
11 Pavlikeni 6 1 0 5 5:11 3
12 Etar II 4 0 1 3 5:9 1
13 Juventus Malchika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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