Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2013/2014

Chaves

8 - 0

AA Avanca

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

34'

(Penalty)

40'

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 8-0, with Chaves advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Chaves

20%

Draws

29%

AA Avanca

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chaves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Chaves carry the better recent record into this one.
Chaves are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Chaves have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Chaves, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%

Chaves Clean Sheet 20%

AA Avanca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chaves	AA Avanca
Matches Played	30	10
Wins	13	2
Draws	1	1
Losses	16	7
Goals Scored	1.5	0.8
Goals Conceded	1.4	3.2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.48	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2013 Taça de Portugal

Chaves vs AA Avanca

8:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaves 85 / 100

AA Avanca 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chaves AA Avanca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chaves Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AA Avanca has conceded goals in 80% of their last 10 outings.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Chaves scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Chaves went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chaves VS -

1.75 Goals Scored 0

1.13 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chaves

(Home)

25 Sept

Chaves

0 : 1

Vitoria Guimaraes

20 Sept

Guarda FC

2 : 3

Chaves

13 Sept

Chaves

1 : 0

Feirense

30 Aug

FC Felgueiras

2 : 1

Chaves

23 Aug

Chaves

2 : 2

AFS

Page 1 of 6

AA Avanca

(Away)

05 Sept

AA Avanca

2 : 2

Feirense U23

22 Sept

Chaves

8 : 0

AA Avanca

01 Sept

GD Braganca

0 : 1

AA Avanca

15 Sept

AA Avanca

0 : 3

SC Espinho

11 Sept

Vizela

2 : 0

AA Avanca

Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

FC Porto -

TBD -

Pedras Salgadas -

TBD -

Trofense -

Fatima 2

Castro Daire 0

TBD -

Sporting Ideal -

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Camacha 5

Ansiao 0

Vila Cortez 2

Castrense 4

Riachense -

TBD -

Vilaverdense FC -

Santa Eulalia 2

AD Portomosense 1

Almodovar 0

Ninense 1

SC Mirandela -

TBD -

Atletico CP -

Leixoes -

TBD -

Sampedrense 0

Sacavenense 3

Bustelo -

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

Santa Clara -

TBD -

Coimbroes 1

Pinhalnovense 2

GD Tourizense 2

FC Lixa 1

TBD -

Covilha -

Famalicao -

TBD -

Eirense -

SC Praiense -

TBD -

Louletano -

Moreirense -

TBD -

Vila Flor 0

Merelinense 1

TBD -

Estoril -

Penafiel -

TBD -

Amiense 0

Tirsense 4

Fabril do Barreiro 2

Oliv. Bairro 0

SC Salgueiros 1

Operario 2

Sao Joao de Ver 3

Ferreiras 2

TBD -

Lusitano VRSA -

Juv. Evora -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 0

Ribeirao 6

AD Oliveirense 1

Vila Mea 0

FC Pampilhosa 0

Vizela 2

Carapinheirense -

TBD -

GS Loures -

Freamunde 3

Amarante FC 1

TBD -

Desportivo de Ronfe -

TBD -

Maritimo -

Gil Vicente -

TBD -

Marinhense -

TBD -

Caldas SC -

Portimonense -

TBD -

1º Dezembro 0

Boavista 1

Cerveira -

TBD -

Cova De Piedade -

Sporting CP -

TBD -

Uniao Montemor -

TBD -

Alba -

Cinfaes -

TBD -

Santiago FC 0

Estarreja 1

TBD -

Benfica -

Braga -

TBD -

GD Sourense -

TBD -

SC Vianense 1

Gafetense 2

Lusitano FCV -

TBD -

Oliveira Hospital 0

C.F. Benfica 1

TBD -

Olhanense -

Chaves -

TBD -

GD Braganca 0

AA Avanca 1

U. Madeira -

TBD -

Carregado 0

SB Castelo Branco 1

Varzim 1

Atletico SC 0

Aguias do Moradal 0

SC Espinho 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

AD Limianos -

TBD -

Oliveirense -

Leiria 2

Torreense 1

Naval 0

Marinhas 3

CD Torres Novas 2

Pero Pinheiro 1

TBD -

Tondela -

AD Fafe -

TBD -

Torre De Moncorvo 1

Perafita 2

Vitoria Sernache -

TBD -

Piense -

Aljustrelense 3

Casa Pia 2

TBD -

Igreja Nova -

Gondomar -

TBD -

Aves -

Academica -

TBD -

BSAD -

Oriental 7

Uniao Nogueirense 0

Manteigas 2

Aliados Lordelo 3

Nogueirense 3

Vieira 0

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Feirense -

TBD -

Moura AC 1

Sousense 2

Lusitania FC 1

SC Lourinhanense 0

TBD -

SC Farense -

Mafra 2

Sintrense 1

TBD -

Oriolenses -

Grijo 3

AD Lousada 2

TBD -

Beira Mar -

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

FC Barreirense 2

O Elvas CAD 1

Atalaia do Campo 0

Alcanenense 7

Nacional -

TBD -

FC Cesarense 4

Valenciano 3

Vila Pouca 0

Santa Maria FC 1

Sertanense 1

Anadia 0

CDR Quarteirense 1

Amora 2

Maria de Fonte 1

GD Joane 0

TBD -

Grandolense -

Esperanca de Lagos -

TBD -

Pedras Rubras -

TBD -

Rio Ave -

1/64-finals

FC Porto -

TBD -

Pedras Salgadas 0

Trofense 3

Fatima 2

Sporting Ideal 1

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Camacha 3

Castrense 2

Riachense 0

Vilaverdense FC 1

Santa Eulalia 2

Ninense 1

SC Mirandela 0

Atletico CP 1

Leixoes 2

Sacavenense 0

Bustelo 0

FC Felgueiras 2

Santa Clara 1

Pinhalnovense 0

GD Tourizense 1

Covilha 3

Famalicao 3

Eirense 0

SC Praiense 0

Louletano 2

Moreirense 9

Merelinense 0

TBD -

Estoril -

Penafiel 2

Tirsense 1

Fabril do Barreiro 0

Operario 2

Sao Joao de Ver 5

Lusitano VRSA 0

Juv. Evora 0

Ribeirao 4

AD Oliveirense 1

Vizela 0

Carapinheirense 0

GS Loures 5

Freamunde 4

Desportivo de Ronfe 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

Gil Vicente -

TBD -

Marinhense 0

Caldas SC 6

Portimonense 2

Boavista 1

Cerveira 1

Cova De Piedade 3

Sporting CP -

TBD -

Uniao Montemor 1

Alba 2

Cinfaes 5

Estarreja 1

TBD -

Benfica -

Braga -

TBD -

GD Sourense 1

Gafetense 2

Lusitano FCV 2

C.F. Benfica 1

TBD -

Olhanense -

Chaves 8

AA Avanca 0

U. Madeira 1

SB Castelo Branco 2

Varzim 3

SC Espinho 0

TBD -

Arouca -

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

AD Limianos 1

Oliveirense 2

Leiria 3

Marinhas 1

CD Torres Novas 1

Tondela 5

AD Fafe 2

Perafita 1

Vitoria Sernache 2

Piense 3

Aljustrelense 3

Igreja Nova 1

Gondomar 1

Aves 2

Academica -

TBD -

BSAD -

Oriental 1

Aliados Lordelo 0

Nogueirense 1

Academico Viseu 2

Feirense 2

Sousense 1

Lusitania FC 2

SC Farense 3

Mafra 3

Oriolenses 0

Grijo 1

Beira Mar 4

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

FC Barreirense 1

Alcanenense 3

Nacional -

TBD -

FC Cesarense 1

Santa Maria FC 4

Sertanense 4

Amora 2

Maria de Fonte 2

Grandolense 3

Esperanca de Lagos 1

Pedras Rubras 0

TBD -

Rio Ave -

1/32-finals

FC Porto 1

Trofense 0

Fatima 0

Vitoria Guimaraes 3

Camacha 2

Vilaverdense FC 1

Santa Eulalia 0

Atletico CP 1

Leixoes 1

FC Felgueiras 0

Santa Clara 1

Covilha 2

Famalicao 2

Louletano 0

Moreirense 0

Estoril 2

Penafiel 4

Operario 2

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Ribeirao 2

AD Oliveirense 3

GS Loures 0

Freamunde 1

Maritimo 3

Gil Vicente 5

Caldas SC 0

Portimonense 0

Cova De Piedade 1

Sporting CP 8

Alba 1

Cinfaes 0

Benfica 1

Braga 2

Gafetense 0

Lusitano FCV 1

Olhanense 2

Chaves 2

SB Castelo Branco 1

Varzim 1

Arouca 4

Pacos Ferreira 3

Oliveirense 1

Leiria 1

Tondela 3

AD Fafe 6

Piense 0

Aljustrelense 0

Aves 1

Academica 3

BSAD 2

Oriental 1

Academico Viseu 2

Feirense 3

SC Farense 2

Mafra 0

Beira Mar 1

Vitoria Setubal 3

Alcanenense 1

Nacional 0

Santa Maria FC 1

Sertanense 2

Grandolense 0

Esperanca de Lagos 0

Rio Ave 3

1/16-finals

FC Porto 2

Vitoria Guimaraes 0

Camacha 1

Atletico CP 2

Leixoes 2

Covilha 1

Famalicao 0

Estoril 1

Penafiel 2

Ribeirao 0

AD Oliveirense 0

Maritimo 3

Gil Vicente 1

Cova De Piedade 0

Sporting CP 3

Benfica 4

Braga 3

Olhanense 1

Chaves 0

Arouca 2

Pacos Ferreira 1

Tondela 0

AD Fafe 1

Aves 2

Academica 2

Academico Viseu 1

Feirense 2

Beira Mar 3

Vitoria Setubal 2

Santa Maria FC 1

Sertanense 2

Rio Ave 4

1/8-finals

FC Porto 6

Atletico CP 0

Leixoes 1

Estoril 5

Penafiel 3

Maritimo 2

Gil Vicente 0

Benfica 5

Braga 2

Arouca 0

Pacos Ferreira 1

Aves 2

Academica 1

Beira Mar 0

Vitoria Setubal 0

Rio Ave 1

Quarter-finals

FC Porto 2

Estoril 1

Penafiel 0

Benfica 1

Braga 3

Aves 1

Academica 0

Rio Ave 1

Semi-finals

FC Porto 2

Benfica 3

Braga 0

Rio Ave 2

Final

Benfica 1

Rio Ave 0

Chaves vs AA Avanca

Portugal

Chaves

AA Avanca

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Chaves

AA Avanca

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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