Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chaves vs AD Fafe Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Chaves and AD Fafe finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chaves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Chaves
20%
Draws
47%
AD Fafe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Fafe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Fafe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AD Fafe's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Chaves Clean Sheet 10%
AD Fafe Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaves AD Fafe
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 16
Draws 1 8
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.3 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Chaves vs AD Fafe
4:1
Jul 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Chaves vs AD Fafe
1:0
Jul 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Chaves vs AD Fafe
0:0
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Chaves vs AD Fafe
1:1
Jan 27, 2013 Second Division - Zona Norte
Chaves vs AD Fafe
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaves 10 / 100
AD Fafe 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaves AD Fafe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Fafe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chaves scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Chaves has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

AD Fafe has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chaves VS AD Fafe
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chaves

(Home)
25 Sept
Chaves
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
20 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 3
Chaves
13 Sept
Chaves
1 : 0
Feirense
30 Aug
FC Felgueiras
2 : 1
Chaves
23 Aug
Chaves
2 : 2
AFS
Page 1 of 6

AD Fafe

(Away)
20 Sept
AD Fafe
4 : 0
Lajense
13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1
AD Fafe
06 Sept
Leca
0 : 3
AD Fafe
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1
AD Fafe
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
Page 1 of 7