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Chaves vs AD Fafe

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Chaves and AD Fafe finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chaves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Chaves
11%
Draws
9%
AD Fafe
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Chaves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • AD Fafe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Chaves's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Chaves Clean Sheet 16%
AD Fafe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaves AD Fafe
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 2 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Chaves vs AD Fafe
4:1
Jul 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Chaves vs AD Fafe
1:0
Jul 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Chaves vs AD Fafe
0:0
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Chaves vs AD Fafe
1:1
Jan 27, 2013 Second Division - Zona Norte
Chaves vs AD Fafe
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaves 75 / 100
AD Fafe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaves AD Fafe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chaves scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

AD Fafe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Chaves has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chaves VS AD Fafe
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%