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Chaves vs Amarante FC

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Amarante FC in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Amarante FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Chaves
30%
Draws
37%
Amarante FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amarante FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Amarante FC have won more games recently than Chaves.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chaves Clean Sheet 19%
Amarante FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chaves Amarante FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 2 8
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.3 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.47 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Chaves vs Amarante FC
2:1
Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Chaves vs Amarante FC
0:2
Mar 24, 2013 Second Division - Zona Norte
Chaves vs Amarante FC
3:1
Dec 9, 2012 Second Division - Zona Norte
Amarante FC vs Chaves
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chaves 36 / 100
Amarante FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chaves Amarante FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amarante FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Chaves found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Amarante FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Chaves remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chaves VS Amarante FC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chaves

(Home)
20 Sept
Guarda FC
2 : 3
Chaves
13 Sept
Chaves
1 : 0
Feirense
30 Aug
FC Felgueiras
2 : 1
Chaves
23 Aug
Chaves
2 : 2
AFS
15 Aug
Sporting CP B
1 : 0
Chaves
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Amarante FC

(Away)
20 Sept
Ponte da Barca
0 : 2
Amarante FC
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2
Leiria
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1
Amarante FC
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0
Benfica B
22 Aug
Vizela
0 : 0
Amarante FC
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