Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Lazzez H.
44'
44'
Mezni Y.
89'
89'
Abdelli C.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2024/2025 game between Chebba and ES Jerba finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chebba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
20%
33%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chebba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Chebba come out ahead of ES Jerba on wins alone.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Chebba taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Chebba Clean Sheet 68%
ES Jerba Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chebba | ES Jerba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 0.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.72 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2025 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs Chebba
1:1
Dec 29, 2024 Ligue 2
Chebba vs ES Jerba
3:1
Apr 21, 2024 Tunisia Cup
Chebba vs ES Jerba
0:1
Feb 6, 2024 Ligue 2
Chebba vs ES Jerba
1:1
Oct 8, 2023 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs Chebba
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chebba Compare
Top Goalscorer Lazzez H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mezni Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36
ES Jerba Compare
Top Goalscorer Trabelsi I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chebba 68 / 100
ES Jerba 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chebba ES Jerba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chebba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chebba's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Defensive concern: ES Jerba conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Chebba went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chebba VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Chebba
(Home) 11 May
Msaken
2 : 4 Chebba
01 May
Chebba
5 : 1 Bousalem
27 Apr
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0 Chebba
18 Apr
Chebba
1 : 0 Sporting Ben Arous
13 Apr
EM Mahdia
1 : 1 Chebba
Page 1 of 7
01 May
Chebba
5 : 1 Bousalem
18 Apr
Chebba
1 : 0 Sporting Ben Arous
05 Apr
Chebba
2 : 0 Hammam-Lif
28 Feb
Chebba
4 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
16 Feb
Chebba
1 : 2 Megrine
Page 1 of 4
ES Jerba
(Away) 23 May
Sfax Railways
3 : 2 ES Jerba
16 May
ES Jerba
1 : 1 Chebba
10 May
Sidi Bouzid
2 : 0 ES Jerba
05 May
ES Jerba
2 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
26 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 2 ES Jerba
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Sfax Railways
3 : 2 ES Jerba
10 May
Sidi Bouzid
2 : 0 ES Jerba
26 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 2 ES Jerba
12 Apr
Djelma
1 : 0 ES Jerba
01 Mar
Espoir Rogba
1 : 1 ES Jerba
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Marsa | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Megrine | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 38:19 | 49 |
| 4 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22:28 | 36 |
| 6 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | 34 |
| 7 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 18:17 | 33 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:34 | 31 |
| 10 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:37 | 31 |
| 11 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 12 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 18:27 | 30 |
| 13 | Oued Ellil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:32 | 27 |
| 14 | Rades | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS Kairouan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 30:11 | 54 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Kerkennah | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 44 |
| 5 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 44 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 21:22 | 33 |
| 7 | Redeyef | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Djelma | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:28 | 32 |
| 10 | Chebba | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | 32 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 13:23 | 30 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:35 | 30 |
| 13 | ES Jerba | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Espoir Rogba | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:54 | 13 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
