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Stadium Background

Chebba vs Hammam-Lif

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Rahali F.
(Penalty)
47' Event
Rahali F.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Chebba and Hammam-Lif finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chebba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Chebba
30%
Draws
37%
Hammam-Lif
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hammam-Lif

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hammam-Lif come out ahead of Chebba on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chebba's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Chebba have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Chebba Clean Sheet 68%
Hammam-Lif Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chebba Hammam-Lif
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 17
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.23 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Ligue 2
Chebba vs Hammam-Lif
2:0
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Hammam-Lif vs Chebba
7:0
Feb 12, 2023 Tunisia Cup
Chebba vs Hammam-Lif
2:1
Aug 2, 2020 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Chebba vs Hammam-Lif
3:0
Sep 29, 2019 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Hammam-Lif vs Chebba
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chebba Compare

Top Goalscorer Rahali F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Hammam-Lif Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chebba 50 / 100
Hammam-Lif 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chebba Hammam-Lif

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chebba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Chebba scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Hammam-Lif's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Chebba went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chebba VS Hammam-Lif
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chebba

(Home)
11 May
Msaken
2 : 4
Chebba
01 May
Chebba
5 : 1
Bousalem
27 Apr
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0
Chebba
18 Apr
Chebba
1 : 0
Sporting Ben Arous
13 Apr
EM Mahdia
1 : 1
Chebba
Page 1 of 6

Hammam-Lif

(Away)
30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0
Stade Gabesien
25 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0
Kasserine
11 May
Hammam-Lif
1 : 1
Hamam-Sousse
01 May
Kerkennah
0 : 0
Hammam-Lif
27 Apr
Hammam-Lif
1 : 0
Menzel Bourguiba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)