Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Mekhinini H.
AI Match Summary
Chebba in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chebba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chebba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sporting Ben Arous haven't matched Chebba's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Chebba Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Ben Arous Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chebba | Sporting Ben Arous |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Ligue 2
Chebba vs Sporting Ben Arous
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Sporting Ben Arous vs Chebba
2:0
Mar 15, 2020 Tunisia Cup
Chebba vs Sporting Ben Arous
3:1
Apr 6, 2019 Ligue 2
Chebba vs Sporting Ben Arous
2:1
Dec 2, 2018 Ligue 2
Sporting Ben Arous vs Chebba
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chebba Compare
Top Goalscorer Mekhinini H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Sporting Ben Arous Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chebba 31 / 100
Sporting Ben Arous 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chebba Sporting Ben Arous
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chebba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chebba found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Sporting Ben Arous let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Chebba went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chebba VS Sporting Ben Arous
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Chebba
(Home) 11 May
Msaken
2 : 4 Chebba
01 May
Chebba
5 : 1 Bousalem
27 Apr
BS Bouhajla
3 : 0 Chebba
18 Apr
Chebba
1 : 0 Sporting Ben Arous
13 Apr
EM Mahdia
1 : 1 Chebba
Page 1 of 6
01 May
Chebba
5 : 1 Bousalem
18 Apr
Chebba
1 : 0 Sporting Ben Arous
05 Apr
Chebba
2 : 0 Hammam-Lif
28 Feb
Chebba
4 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
16 Feb
Chebba
1 : 2 Megrine
Page 1 of 3
Sporting Ben Arous
(Away) 11 May
Sporting Ben Arous
6 : 0 Menzel Bourguiba
01 May
US Tataouine
1 : 0 Sporting Ben Arous
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1 Megrine
18 Apr
Chebba
1 : 0 Sporting Ben Arous
13 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
0 : 1 AS Agareb
Page 1 of 6
01 May
US Tataouine
1 : 0 Sporting Ben Arous
18 Apr
Chebba
1 : 0 Sporting Ben Arous
04 Apr
Sfax Railways
0 : 2 Sporting Ben Arous
28 Feb
Bousalem
0 : 0 Sporting Ben Arous
01 Feb
EM Mahdia
1 : 1 Sporting Ben Arous
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
