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Chebel Citizens vs Pamplemousses

Mauritius Mauritius

Super League
Chebel Citizens Logo

Chebel Citizens

1 - 0
FT
Pamplemousses Logo

Pamplemousses

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chebel Citizens in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chebel Citizens.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Chebel Citizens
30%
Draws
33%
Pamplemousses
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chebel Citizens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Pamplemousses haven't matched Chebel Citizens's recent run of results.
  • Chebel Citizens are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Chebel Citizens Clean Sheet 20%
Pamplemousses Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chebel Citizens Pamplemousses
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.6 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Super League
Pamplemousses vs Chebel Citizens
2:2
Jan 25, 2026 Super League
Chebel Citizens vs Pamplemousses
1:0
May 6, 2025 Super League
Pamplemousses vs Chebel Citizens
3:4
Jan 19, 2025 Super League
Chebel Citizens vs Pamplemousses
0:1
May 18, 2024 Super League
Pamplemousses vs Chebel Citizens
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chebel Citizens 40 / 100
Pamplemousses 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chebel Citizens Pamplemousses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chebel Citizens Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chebel Citizens went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Chebel Citizens scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Pamplemousses let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Chebel Citizens VS Pamplemousses
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chebel Citizens

(Home)
29 Apr
Pamplemousses
2 : 2
Chebel Citizens
26 Apr
La Cure Waves
1 : 3
Chebel Citizens
19 Apr
Chebel Citizens
1 : 0
Petite Riviere
14 Apr
AS Vacoas
0 : 3
Chebel Citizens
15 Mar
Chebel Citizens
0 : 0
PAS Mates
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Pamplemousses

(Away)
29 Apr
Pamplemousses
2 : 2
Chebel Citizens
23 Apr
Beau Bassin (USBBRH)
0 : 2
Pamplemousses
18 Apr
Pamplemousses
2 : 0
Port Louis
15 Apr
La Cure Waves
1 : 0
Pamplemousses
15 Mar
Pamplemousses
3 : 2
Cercle De Joachim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Cure Waves 18 14 1 3 50:20 43
2 Pamplemousses 18 12 3 3 35:14 39
3 Chebel Citizens 18 11 3 4 28:13 36
4 Cercle De Joachim 18 8 4 6 33:21 28
5 Riviere Du Rempart 18 8 4 6 33:27 28
6 Port Louis 18 7 3 8 26:29 24
7 Petite Riviere 18 7 3 8 23:24 24
8 AS Vacoas 18 7 2 9 24:23 23
9 Beau Bassin (USBBRH) 18 1 5 12 15:46 8
10 PAS Mates 18 0 2 16 10:60 2
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)