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Chebel Citizens vs Petite Riviere Prediction & H2H Stats

Mauritius Mauritius

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Chebel Citizens and Petite Riviere finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chebel Citizens.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Chebel Citizens
30%
Draws
27%
Petite Riviere
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chebel Citizens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Chebel Citizens carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chebel Citizens a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Chebel Citizens Clean Sheet 20%
Petite Riviere Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chebel Citizens Petite Riviere
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Super League
Chebel Citizens vs Petite Riviere
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Super League
Petite Riviere vs Chebel Citizens
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 Super League
Chebel Citizens vs Petite Riviere
0:1
Dec 8, 2024 Super League
Petite Riviere vs Chebel Citizens
1:1
Jul 18, 2024 Super League
Chebel Citizens vs Petite Riviere
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chebel Citizens 76 / 100
Petite Riviere 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chebel Citizens Petite Riviere

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chebel Citizens Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Chebel Citizens stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Chebel Citizens scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Petite Riviere has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Chebel Citizens VS Petite Riviere
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chebel Citizens

(Home)
29 Apr
Pamplemousses
2 : 2
Chebel Citizens
26 Apr
La Cure Waves
1 : 3
Chebel Citizens
19 Apr
Chebel Citizens
1 : 0
Petite Riviere
14 Apr
AS Vacoas
0 : 3
Chebel Citizens
15 Mar
Chebel Citizens
0 : 0
PAS Mates
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Petite Riviere

(Away)
01 May
Petite Riviere
2 : 0
Beau Bassin (USBBRH)
24 Apr
Cercle De Joachim
1 : 1
Petite Riviere
19 Apr
Chebel Citizens
1 : 0
Petite Riviere
28 Mar
PAS Mates
0 : 3
Petite Riviere
15 Mar
Petite Riviere
2 : 4
La Cure Waves
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Cure Waves 18 14 1 3 50:20 43
2 Pamplemousses 18 12 3 3 35:14 39
3 Chebel Citizens 18 11 3 4 28:13 36
4 Cercle De Joachim 18 8 4 6 33:21 28
5 Riviere Du Rempart 18 8 4 6 33:27 28
6 Port Louis 18 7 3 8 26:29 24
7 Petite Riviere 18 7 3 8 23:24 24
8 AS Vacoas 18 7 2 9 24:23 23
9 Beau Bassin (USBBRH) 18 1 5 12 15:46 8
10 PAS Mates 18 0 2 16 10:60 2
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)