Sport Picks
Chelmianka Chelm vs Biala Podlaska - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
Match Events
54'
54'
Banaszewski M.
62'
62'
Lukasiewicz J.
73'
73'
Tomczyk P.
AI Match Summary
Chelmianka Chelm in this III Liga - Group IV matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelmianka Chelm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chelmianka Chelm
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Biala Podlaska haven't matched Chelmianka Chelm's recent run of results.
- Chelmianka Chelm are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 20%
Biala Podlaska Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelmianka Chelm | Biala Podlaska |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 3 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.96 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Biala Podlaska
2:1
Nov 23, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Biala Podlaska
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Chelmianka Chelm
0:3
Mar 14, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Chelmianka Chelm
1:1
Aug 21, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Biala Podlaska
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chelmianka Chelm Compare
Top Goalscorer Banaszewski M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tomczyk P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Biala Podlaska Compare
Top Goalscorer Lukasiewicz J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chelmianka Chelm 85 / 100
Biala Podlaska 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chelmianka Chelm Biala Podlaska
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelmianka Chelm Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelmianka Chelm's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Chelmianka Chelm went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Biala Podlaska let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Chelmianka Chelm VS Biala Podlaska
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelmianka Chelm
(Home) 04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
05 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Biala Podlaska
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
29 Aug
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 0 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
19 Aug
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Wisloka Debica
08 Aug
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 0 Kolbuszowa Dolna
Page 1 of 3
Biala Podlaska
(Away) 01 Oct
Biala Podlaska
2 : 2 Star Starachowice
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
11 Sept
Biala Podlaska
2 : 1 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
06 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0 Biala Podlaska
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
06 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0 Biala Podlaska
22 Aug
Jaroslaw
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
15 Aug
Czarni Polaniec
0 : 2 Biala Podlaska
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 18:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Wisloka Debica | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 4 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 5 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 17 |
| 8 | Wisla II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 10 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Busko-Zdroj | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 13 | Biala Podlaska | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 23:27 | 11 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 16 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
