Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chelmianka Chelm vs Garbarnia

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025
Sat, Nov 2, 2024
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chelmianka Chelm host Garbarnia in the III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Chelmianka Chelm at 2 goals for, 0.75 against; Garbarnia at 0 for, 0 against. Past meetings favor Garbarnia slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 2, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.60 vs 0.88, favoring Chelmianka Chelm. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Chelmianka Chelm
20%
Draws
38%
Garbarnia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chelmianka Chelm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Garbarnia haven't matched Chelmianka Chelm's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Chelmianka Chelm taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Garbarnia have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 20%
Garbarnia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelmianka Chelm Garbarnia
Matches Played 30 12
Wins 16 6
Draws 7 2
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Garbarnia
0:0
May 11, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Garbarnia
0:1
Oct 13, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Garbarnia vs Chelmianka Chelm
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelmianka Chelm 42 / 100
Garbarnia 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelmianka Chelm Garbarnia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelmianka Chelm's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Garbarnia conceded in 75% of 12 recent games.

Solid form: Chelmianka Chelm remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Chelmianka Chelm VS Garbarnia
2 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelmianka Chelm

(Home)
18 Jul
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1
Hetman Zamosc
11 Jul
Leczna
4 : 1
Chelmianka Chelm
04 Jul
Avia Swidnik
2 : 1
Chelmianka Chelm
30 May
Wisloka Debica
1 : 2
Chelmianka Chelm
23 May
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 0
Naprzod Jedrzejow
Page 1 of 6

Garbarnia

(Away)
20 Jul
Garbarnia
1 : 5
Sandecja Nowy S.
07 Jul
Hutnik Krakow
1 : 2
Garbarnia
08 Jun
Garbarnia
2 : 2
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
01 Jun
Orleta Radzyn
2 : 3
Garbarnia
25 May
Garbarnia
0 : 1
Biala Podlaska
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sandecja Nowy S.34228465:3174
2Podhale Nowy Targ34215867:4368
3Siarka Tarnobrzeg34205976:4265
4Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34196955:4063
5Avia Swidnik34188877:4462
6Korona Kielce II341710771:5061
7Star Starachowice341671161:4655
8Biala Podlaska341581159:4253
9Chelmianka Chelm341651374:6253
10Wisloka Debica341441661:5546
11Czarni Polaniec341181552:6441
12Wisla II341181572:6041
13Swidniczanka Swidnik341091544:5439
14Wislanie Skawina341091541:6039
15Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341071750:6837
16Wiazownica34791838:7030
17Lewart Lubartow34542531:8519
18Unia Tarnow34242828:10610
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)