Sport Picks
Chelmianka Chelm vs Korona Kielce II
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
6'
6'
Tobola K.
22'
22'
Kuzdra J.
30'
30'
Cichocki P.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Chelmianka Chelm and Korona Kielce II finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chelmianka Chelm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Chelmianka Chelm
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Korona Kielce II have managed 2.25 goals a game lately — Chelmianka Chelm are scoring more at 2.38.
- Chelmianka Chelm are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 15%
Korona Kielce II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelmianka Chelm | Korona Kielce II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Korona Kielce II
4:1
Oct 4, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Chelmianka Chelm
3:1
May 16, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Korona Kielce II
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Chelmianka Chelm
2:4
May 20, 2023 III Liga - Group IV
Korona Kielce II vs Chelmianka Chelm
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chelmianka Chelm Compare
Top Goalscorer Kuzdra J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cichocki P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Korona Kielce II Compare
Top Goalscorer Tobola K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chelmianka Chelm 57 / 100
Korona Kielce II 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chelmianka Chelm Korona Kielce II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelmianka Chelm found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Korona Kielce II conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Chelmianka Chelm has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Chelmianka Chelm VS Korona Kielce II
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelmianka Chelm
(Home) 18 Jul
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Hetman Zamosc
11 Jul
Leczna
4 : 1 Chelmianka Chelm
04 Jul
Avia Swidnik
2 : 1 Chelmianka Chelm
30 May
Wisloka Debica
1 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
23 May
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 0 Naprzod Jedrzejow
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Hetman Zamosc
23 May
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 0 Naprzod Jedrzejow
13 May
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 0 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
09 May
Chelmianka Chelm
5 : 2 Star Starachowice
25 Apr
Chelmianka Chelm
4 : 1 Korona Kielce II
Page 1 of 3
Korona Kielce II
(Away) 11 Jul
R. Rzeszow
5 : 0 Korona Kielce II
30 May
Korona Kielce II
4 : 1 Wislanie Skawina
22 May
Korona Kielce II
2 : 1 Czarni Polaniec
16 May
Avia Swidnik
5 : 1 Korona Kielce II
13 May
Korona Kielce II
1 : 0 Wisloka Debica
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
R. Rzeszow
5 : 0 Korona Kielce II
16 May
Avia Swidnik
5 : 1 Korona Kielce II
01 May
Wisla II
2 : 3 Korona Kielce II
25 Apr
Chelmianka Chelm
4 : 1 Korona Kielce II
11 Apr
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Korona Kielce II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)