Sport Picks
Chelmianka Chelm vs Stal Krasnik Prediction & H2H Stats
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
5'
5'
Adamski R.
7'
7'
Tomczyk P.
23'
23'
Banaszewski M.
AI Match Summary
Chelmianka Chelm in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelmianka Chelm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
35%
36%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Stal Krasnik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chelmianka Chelm lately — more wins on the board than Stal Krasnik.
- Win probability leans Stal Krasnik's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 10%
Stal Krasnik Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelmianka Chelm | Stal Krasnik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 3 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Stal Krasnik
4:1
Aug 27, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Stal Krasnik vs Chelmianka Chelm
5:1
Feb 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Chelmianka Chelm vs Stal Krasnik
0:1
Mar 14, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Stal Krasnik
3:1
Aug 12, 2020 III Liga - Group IV
Stal Krasnik vs Chelmianka Chelm
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chelmianka Chelm Compare
Top Goalscorer Tomczyk P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Adamski R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
Stal Krasnik Compare
Top Goalscorer Martinez S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chelmianka Chelm 26 / 100
Stal Krasnik 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chelmianka Chelm Stal Krasnik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stal Krasnik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelmianka Chelm's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Stal Krasnik conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Chelmianka Chelm stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chelmianka Chelm VS Stal Krasnik
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelmianka Chelm
(Home) 04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
05 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Biala Podlaska
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
29 Aug
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 0 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
19 Aug
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Wisloka Debica
08 Aug
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 0 Kolbuszowa Dolna
Page 1 of 3
Stal Krasnik
(Away) 30 May
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 3 Stal Krasnik
23 May
Stal Krasnik
2 : 0 Swidniczanka Swidnik
16 May
Biala Podlaska
1 : 1 Stal Krasnik
13 May
Stal Krasnik
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
09 May
Cracovia II
1 : 2 Stal Krasnik
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 3 Stal Krasnik
16 May
Biala Podlaska
1 : 1 Stal Krasnik
09 May
Cracovia II
1 : 2 Stal Krasnik
25 Apr
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1 Stal Krasnik
11 Apr
Kolbuszowa Dolna
1 : 0 Stal Krasnik
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
