Sport Picks
Chelmianka Chelm vs Star Starachowice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV game between Chelmianka Chelm and Star Starachowice finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chelmianka Chelm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chelmianka Chelm
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Chelmianka Chelm come out ahead of Star Starachowice on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Chelmianka Chelm's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chelmianka Chelm Clean Sheet 20%
Star Starachowice Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelmianka Chelm | Star Starachowice |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 3 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Star Starachowice
2:1
May 9, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Star Starachowice
5:2
Oct 18, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Star Starachowice vs Chelmianka Chelm
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Star Starachowice vs Chelmianka Chelm
0:0
Nov 23, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Chelmianka Chelm vs Star Starachowice
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chelmianka Chelm 36 / 100
Star Starachowice 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chelmianka Chelm Star Starachowice
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelmianka Chelm found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
Chelmianka Chelm has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Star Starachowice has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Chelmianka Chelm VS Star Starachowice
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelmianka Chelm
(Home) 04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Biala Podlaska
19 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
05 Sept
Wisla II
0 : 2 Chelmianka Chelm
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Biala Podlaska
12 Sept
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
29 Aug
Chelmianka Chelm
1 : 0 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
19 Aug
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 1 Wisloka Debica
08 Aug
Chelmianka Chelm
2 : 0 Kolbuszowa Dolna
Page 1 of 3
Star Starachowice
(Away) 01 Oct
Biala Podlaska
2 : 2 Star Starachowice
26 Sept
Star Starachowice
4 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
19 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 0 Star Starachowice
13 Sept
Star Starachowice
2 : 3 Wisloka Debica
04 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
0 : 0 Star Starachowice
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
Biala Podlaska
2 : 2 Star Starachowice
19 Sept
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
0 : 0 Star Starachowice
04 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
0 : 0 Star Starachowice
29 Aug
Jaroslaw
3 : 0 Star Starachowice
15 Aug
Hetman Zamosc
3 : 0 Star Starachowice
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 18:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Wisloka Debica | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Wislanie Skawina | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 4 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27:21 | 20 |
| 5 | Czarni Polaniec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 20 |
| 7 | Jaroslaw | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 28:22 | 17 |
| 8 | Wisla II | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 9 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 10 | Hetman Zamosc | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Busko-Zdroj | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 17:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 12:12 | 13 |
| 13 | Biala Podlaska | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 23:27 | 11 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 16 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13:22 | 8 |
| 18 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
