Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Nikaj G.
47'
47'
Nikaj G.
75'
75'
Taylor L.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The National League South 2025/2026 game between Chelmsford and Dover Ath. finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dover Ath..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Chelmsford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Chelmsford come out ahead of Dover Ath. on wins alone.
- Model gives Chelmsford a 60% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Chelmsford Clean Sheet 20%
Dover Ath. Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelmsford | Dover Ath. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 National League South
Chelmsford vs Dover Ath.
1:2
Oct 28, 2025 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Chelmsford
0:1
Apr 1, 2024 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Chelmsford
1:0
Oct 23, 2023 National League South
Chelmsford vs Dover Ath.
3:3
Feb 18, 2023 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Chelmsford
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chelmsford Compare
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Dover Ath. Compare
Top Goalscorer Nikaj G.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chelmsford 58 / 100
Dover Ath. 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chelmsford Dover Ath.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelmsford scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Dover Ath. let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Recent resilience: Chelmsford stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chelmsford VS Dover Ath.
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelmsford
(Home) 14 Jul
Canvey Island
0 : 1 Chelmsford
11 Jul
Stortford
1 : 3 Chelmsford
25 Apr
Chelmsford
1 : 3 Eastbourne Borough
18 Apr
Chesham
0 : 2 Chelmsford
14 Apr
Hornchurch
3 : 3 Chelmsford
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Chelmsford
1 : 3 Eastbourne Borough
11 Apr
Chelmsford
1 : 1 Maidenhead
03 Apr
Chelmsford
3 : 0 Enfield Town
30 Mar
Chelmsford
1 : 1 AFC Totton
21 Mar
Chelmsford
1 : 2 Dover Ath.
Page 1 of 3
Dover Ath.
(Away) 21 Jul
Dover Ath.
2 : 1 Deal Town
14 Jul
Dover Ath.
0 : 3 Gillingham
04 Jul
Margate
0 : 1 Dover Ath.
25 Apr
Dover Ath.
2 : 2 Chesham
18 Apr
Maidenhead
1 : 0 Dover Ath.
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Margate
0 : 1 Dover Ath.
18 Apr
Maidenhead
1 : 0 Dover Ath.
06 Apr
Ebbsfleet
4 : 0 Dover Ath.
28 Mar
Salisbury
2 : 1 Dover Ath.
24 Mar
Enfield Town
3 : 1 Dover Ath.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Worthing FC | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 99:52 | 84 |
| 2 | Hornchurch | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 81:64 | 81 |
| 3 | Torquay | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 87:62 | 80 |
| 4 | Dorking Wanderers | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 78:61 | 79 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 46 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 55:48 | 79 |
| 6 | Weston-super-Mare | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 61:48 | 78 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 66:41 | 77 |
| 8 | Maidstone | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 72:50 | 77 |
| 9 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 73:54 | 77 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 73:62 | 73 |
| 11 | Chesham | 46 | 21 | 9 | 16 | 68:55 | 72 |
| 12 | AFC Totton | 46 | 20 | 6 | 20 | 60:79 | 66 |
| 13 | Dagenham & Red. | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 61:62 | 64 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 66:65 | 60 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 53:54 | 59 |
| 16 | Slough Town | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 69:87 | 54 |
| 17 | Salisbury | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 50:65 | 53 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 56:72 | 53 |
| 19 | Farnborough | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 72:92 | 53 |
| 20 | Dover Ath. | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 60:75 | 50 |
| 21 | Bath City | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 50:77 | 43 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 53:80 | 42 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 46 | 9 | 13 | 24 | 55:82 | 40 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Borough | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 59:90 | 36 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)