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Chelmsford vs Farnham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chelmsford host Farnham in the National League South. This one's hard to separate. Farnham have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Chelmsford have conceded 1.12 and scored 1.42. Head-to-head, Chelmsford have won 0 to Farnham's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 17, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.31) back Farnham to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Chelmsford
35%
Draws
31%
Farnham
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Farnham lately — more wins on the board than Chelmsford.
  • Win probability leans Chelmsford's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Chelmsford Clean Sheet 18%
Farnham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelmsford Farnham
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 13 6
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.42 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 National League South
Chelmsford vs Farnham
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelmsford 49 / 100
Farnham 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelmsford Farnham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelmsford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chelmsford scored in 88% of their last 26 outings.

Chelmsford went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Farnham has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Chelmsford VS Farnham
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelmsford

(Home)
03 Oct
Brackley
0 : 2
Chelmsford
26 Sept
Chelmsford
0 : 0
Horsham FC
19 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 1
Chelmsford
12 Sept
Hampton & Richmond
1 : 1
Chelmsford
08 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3
Chelmsford
Page 1 of 6

Farnham

(Away)
06 Oct
Farnham
2 : 2
Truro
26 Sept
Farnham
3 : 2
Weston-super-Mare
22 Sept
Farnham
1 : 2
Cirencester
19 Sept
Cirencester
2 : 2
Farnham
12 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 2
Farnham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Truro 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
6 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
7 Farnham 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
8 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Ebbsfleet 6 3 3 0 7:3 12
15 Folkestone 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
16 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
17 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
18 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
19 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Braintree 10 3 1 6 17:25 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Walton & Hersham 10 1 2 7 9:27 5
24 Slough Town 10 1 1 8 10:24 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)