Sport Picks

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Chelsea U19 vs Lille U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 Cobham Training Centre, Cobham
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ben Hamed Y.
Own Goal
36'
Haigh J.
40'
Ngoya J.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 game between Chelsea U19 and Lille U19 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Chelsea U19
35%
Draws
19%
Lille U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chelsea U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chelsea U19 come out ahead of Lille U19 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chelsea U19 a 46% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%
Chelsea U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Lille U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelsea U19 Lille U19
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2.14 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2019 UEFA Youth League
Chelsea U19 vs Lille U19
1:1
Oct 2, 2019 UEFA Youth League
Lille U19 vs Chelsea U19
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelsea U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Lille U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramet S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelsea U19 95 / 100
Lille U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelsea U19 Lille U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelsea U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chelsea U19 scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Lille U19 conceded in 62% of 21 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Chelsea U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chelsea U19 VS Lille U19
3.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelsea U19

(Home)
25 Feb
Real Madrid U19
1 : 0
Chelsea U19
03 Feb
Chelsea U19
2 : 1
PSV U19
09 Dec
Atalanta U19
1 : 3
Chelsea U19
25 Nov
Chelsea U19
1 : 1
Barcelona U19
05 Nov
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 5
Chelsea U19
Page 1 of 6

Lille U19

(Away)
08 Sept
Lille U19
0 : 0
Betis U19
11 Feb
Inter U19
3 : 1
Lille U19
11 Dec
Lille U19
1 : 1
Sturm Graz U19
27 Nov
Bologna U19
2 : 2
Lille U19
05 Nov
Lille U19
0 : 0
Juventus U19
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Madrid U19 6 4 1 1 16:10 13
2 Club Brugge U19 6 3 1 2 12:9 10
3 PSG U19 6 2 0 4 10:15 6
4 Galatasaray U19 6 2 0 4 9:13 6
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern U19 6 4 2 0 18:2 14
2 Crvena zvezda U19 6 3 2 1 8:11 11
3 Tottenham U19 6 2 1 3 12:12 7
4 Olympiacos Piraeus U19 6 0 1 5 2:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atalanta U19 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
2 Din. Zagreb U19 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Manchester City U19 6 2 1 3 11:8 7
4 Shakhtar U19 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus U19 6 5 0 1 17:4 15
2 Atl. Madrid U19 6 4 0 2 11:8 12
3 Leverkusen U19 6 1 1 4 6:16 4
4 Lokomotiv Moscow U19 6 1 1 4 7:13 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool U19 6 4 1 1 17:6 13
2 Salzburg U19 6 3 1 2 19:11 10
3 Genk U19 6 2 2 2 5:6 8
4 Napoli U19 6 0 2 4 5:23 2
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 6 4 0 2 15:7 12
2 Dortmund U19 6 4 0 2 12:9 12
3 Slavia Prague U19 6 3 0 3 9:16 9
4 Barcelona U19 6 1 0 5 8:12 3
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 6 5 0 1 17:6 15
2 Lyon U19 6 4 0 2 13:10 12
3 RB Leipzig U19 6 1 1 4 5:10 4
4 Zenit St Petersburg U19 6 1 1 4 7:16 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ajax U19 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
2 Lille U19 6 3 1 2 7:8 10
3 Chelsea U19 6 1 3 2 7:9 6
4 Valencia U19 6 1 2 3 10:13 5
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 (Play Offs)