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Chelsea U19 vs Monaco U19

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UEFA Youth League 2018/2019 Cobham Training Centre, Cobham
Chelsea U19 Logo

Chelsea U19

3 - 1
FT
Monaco U19 Logo

Monaco U19

Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Silva A.
22'
Sub
Geubbels W. In: Antognelli F.
Out: Geubbels W.
41' Event
Brown C.
Assist: Gilmour B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chelsea U19 in this UEFA Youth League 2018/2019 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Chelsea U19
15%
Draws
40%
Monaco U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chelsea U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Chelsea U19 have won more games recently than Monaco U19.
  • Chelsea U19 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Chelsea U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Chelsea U19, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Chelsea U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Monaco U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelsea U19 Monaco U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2.17 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2019 UEFA Youth League
Chelsea U19 vs Monaco U19
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelsea U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Brown C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gallagher C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Monaco U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Thuram K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelsea U19 42 / 100
Monaco U19 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelsea U19 Monaco U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelsea U19 found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Monaco U19 conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Chelsea U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chelsea U19 VS Monaco U19
3.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelsea U19

(Home)
25 Feb
Real Madrid U19
1 : 0
Chelsea U19
03 Feb
Chelsea U19
2 : 1
PSV U19
09 Dec
Atalanta U19
1 : 3
Chelsea U19
25 Nov
Chelsea U19
1 : 1
Barcelona U19
05 Nov
Qarabag Agdam U19
0 : 5
Chelsea U19
Page 1 of 6

Monaco U19

(Away)
03 Feb
Club Brugge U19
3 : 2
Monaco U19
09 Dec
Monaco U19
5 : 0
Galatasaray U19
26 Nov
Pafos U19
0 : 3
Monaco U19
04 Nov
Bodo/Glimt U19
0 : 7
Monaco U19
22 Oct
Monaco U19
2 : 4
Tottenham U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Hoffenheim U19 -
TBD -
Juventus U19 0
Dynamo Kyiv U19 3
Atl. Madrid U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Madrid U19 -
FC Porto U19 -
TBD -
PAOK U19 0
Tottenham U19 1
Midtjylland U19 2
AS Roma U19 1
TBD -
Manchester United U19 -
Barcelona U19 -
TBD -
PSG U19 1
Hertha U19 2
Lyon U19 2
Sigma Olomouc U19 0
TBD -
Ajax U19 -
Chelsea U19 3
Monaco U19 1
Benfica U19 1
Montpellier U19 2
Din. Zagreb U19 2
Lokomotiv Moscow U19 1
TBD -
Liverpool U19 -
1/8-finals
Hoffenheim U19 1
Dynamo Kyiv U19 0
Atl. Madrid U19 1
Real Madrid U19 2
FC Porto U19 2
Tottenham U19 0
Midtjylland U19 3
Manchester United U19 1
Barcelona U19 3
Hertha U19 0
Lyon U19 3
Ajax U19 2
Chelsea U19 2
Montpellier U19 1
Din. Zagreb U19 2
Liverpool U19 1
Quarter-finals
Hoffenheim U19 4
Real Madrid U19 2
FC Porto U19 3
Midtjylland U19 0
Barcelona U19 3
Lyon U19 2
Chelsea U19 3
Din. Zagreb U19 2
Semi-finals
Hoffenheim U19 0
FC Porto U19 3
Barcelona U19 2
Chelsea U19 3
Final
FC Porto U19 3
Chelsea U19 1