Sport Picks
Chelsea U21 vs Lyon II
Europe
Premier League International Cup 2023/2024 
Match Events
30'
30'
Morgan J.
Assist: Brooking J.
51'
51'
Bossiwa S.
Assist: Fougeu B.
64'
64'
Perret R.
Assist: Fougeu B.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with Lyon II advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chelsea U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Lyon II haven't matched Chelsea U21's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Chelsea U21 taking it.
- Chelsea U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Lyon II, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Chelsea U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Lyon II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelsea U21 | Lyon II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.17 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2023 Premier League International Cup
Chelsea U21 vs Lyon II
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chelsea U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Morgan J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.08
Lyon II Compare
Top Goalscorer Perret R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Bossiwa S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chelsea U21 42 / 100
Lyon II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chelsea U21 Lyon II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelsea U21's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Lyon II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Chelsea U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Chelsea U21 VS -
3.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelsea U21
(Home) 19 Sept
Chelsea U21
3 : 1 Fulham U21
15 Sept
Wycombe
2 : 1 Chelsea U21
12 Sept
Arsenal U21
1 : 4 Chelsea U21
31 Aug
Chelsea U21
5 : 4 West Ham U21
25 Aug
Bristol Rovers
2 : 3 Chelsea U21
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Chelsea U21
3 : 1 Fulham U21
31 Aug
Chelsea U21
5 : 4 West Ham U21
21 Jul
Chelsea U21
0 : 0 Cardiff U21
01 May
Chelsea U21
1 : 3 Tottenham U21
25 Apr
Chelsea U21
1 : 0 Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 4
Lyon II
(Away) 07 May
Nottingham U21
1 : 0 Lyon II
22 Apr
Fulham U21
0 : 2 Lyon II
11 Mar
Lyon II
3 : 0 Valencia B
03 Dec
West Ham U21
0 : 2 Lyon II
30 Oct
Middlesbrough U21
0 : 1 Lyon II
Page 1 of 6
07 May
Nottingham U21
1 : 0 Lyon II
22 Apr
Fulham U21
0 : 2 Lyon II
03 Dec
West Ham U21
0 : 2 Lyon II
30 Oct
Middlesbrough U21
0 : 1 Lyon II
01 Oct
Sunderland U21
2 : 0 Lyon II
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Jong PSV | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Hertha Berlin II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Blackburn U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 5 | Nottingham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 6 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 7 | Sparta Prague U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 8 | Nice II | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton U21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 2 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | 10 |
| 3 | Chelsea U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Lyon II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 5 | Valencia B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 6 | Celtic U23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:13 | 3 |
| 7 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | 1 |
| 8 | Dinamo Zagreb 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:11 | 1 |
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Everton U21 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace U21 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 5 | Liverpool U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 6 | Monaco II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Jong Feyenoord | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 8 | Benfica B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
