Sport Picks
Chelsea U21 vs PSG U21
Europe
Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 
Match Events
52'
52'
Nsoki N.
Assist: Cordier T.
67'
67'
Housni I.
Assist: N'Dri N'Guessan L.
75'
75'
Mheuka S.
Assist: Holland C.
AI Match Summary
PSG U21 in this Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
22%
43%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: PSG U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Chelsea U21 have won more games recently than PSG U21.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Chelsea U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor PSG U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Chelsea U21 Clean Sheet 17%
PSG U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelsea U21 | PSG U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 4 |
| Wins | 14 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 13 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 3, 2025 Premier League International Cup
Chelsea U21 vs PSG U21
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chelsea U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Mheuka S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
PSG U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Housni I.
2 Goals Assists Leader Nsoki N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chelsea U21 31 / 100
PSG U21 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chelsea U21 PSG U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PSG U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelsea U21 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
PSG U21 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 4 outings.
Chelsea U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chelsea U21 VS PSG U21
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelsea U21
(Home) 25 Aug
Bristol Rovers
2 : 3 Chelsea U21
21 Aug
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1 Chelsea U21
21 Jul
Chelsea U21
0 : 0 Cardiff U21
01 May
Chelsea U21
1 : 3 Tottenham U21
25 Apr
Chelsea U21
1 : 0 Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Chelsea U21
0 : 0 Cardiff U21
01 May
Chelsea U21
1 : 3 Tottenham U21
25 Apr
Chelsea U21
1 : 0 Middlesbrough U21
14 Mar
Chelsea U21
4 : 0 Sunderland U21
20 Feb
Chelsea U21
2 : 2 Leeds U21
Page 1 of 4
PSG U21
(Away) 19 Jan
Nottingham U21
2 : 0 PSG U21
14 Dec
Brighton U21
2 : 2 PSG U21
03 Dec
Chelsea U21
1 : 3 PSG U21
21 Nov
Newcastle Utd U21
0 : 2 PSG U21
19 Jan
Nottingham U21
2 : 0 PSG U21
14 Dec
Brighton U21
2 : 2 PSG U21
03 Dec
Chelsea U21
1 : 3 PSG U21
21 Nov
Newcastle Utd U21
0 : 2 PSG U21
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Everton U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:6 | 9 |
| 2 | Real Madrid U21 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 8 |
| 3 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Monaco II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 5 | Manchester City U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 5 |
| 6 | Jong PSV | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | 4 |
| 8 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:9 | 1 |
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crystal Palace U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Valencia B | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | B. Monchengladbach II | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Nordsjaelland U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 5 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 6 | West Brom U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Juventus U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 8 | Leicester U21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Sociedad B | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Dinamo Zagreb 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Benfica B | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13:4 | 8 |
| 4 | PSG U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 5 | Brighton U21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Nottingham U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 7 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0:10 | 1 |
| 8 | Chelsea U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6:14 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dortmund II | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Manchester United U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Sunderland U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Anderlecht 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 7 |
| 5 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 7 | Ath Bilbao B | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 8 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
