Sport Picks

Europe

Premier League International Cup 2024/2025

RB Leipzig II

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chelsea U21 play RB Leipzig II in the Premier League International Cup 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chelsea U21 averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. RB Leipzig II averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Chelsea U21 won 0, RB Leipzig II won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 28, 2024 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.52 for Chelsea U21 and 2.21 for RB Leipzig II. This points to a RB Leipzig II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Chelsea U21

15%

Draws

47%

RB Leipzig II

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RB Leipzig II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Chelsea U21 picked up more points recently compared to RB Leipzig II.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.52 vs 2.21 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 89%

Over 2.5 Goals 74%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Chelsea U21 Clean Sheet 10%

RB Leipzig II Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 80%

Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chelsea U21	RB Leipzig II
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	15	14
Draws	1	7
Losses	15	9
Goals Scored	2.1	2.17
Goals Conceded	1.81	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.75	2.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2024 Premier League International Cup

Chelsea U21 vs RB Leipzig II

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelsea U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kellyman O.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

RB Leipzig II Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramsak R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Weissbach N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.52

Avg xA / game 0.93

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelsea U21 36 / 100

RB Leipzig II 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chelsea U21 RB Leipzig II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: RB Leipzig II or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.47

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chelsea U21 attacking → ← attacking RB Leipzig II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelsea U21 scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

RB Leipzig II let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Chelsea U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

RB Leipzig II lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 49

2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.67

2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.67

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Valencia B	4	3	1	0	6:2	10
2	Nottingham U21	4	3	0	1	7:2	9
3	Monaco II	4	2	1	1	10:5	7
4	Jong Ajax	4	2	0	2	9:4	6
5	Dinamo Zagreb 2	4	1	1	2	7:10	4
6	Reading U21	4	1	1	2	6:9	4
7	Tottenham U21	4	1	0	3	4:13	3
8	Wolves U21	4	0	2	2	4:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lyon II	4	3	0	1	5:2	9
2	Ath Bilbao B	4	2	2	0	10:5	8
3	Sunderland U21	4	2	1	1	6:6	7
4	West Ham U21	4	1	2	1	7:7	5
5	Benfica B	4	1	2	1	5:5	5
6	Blackburn U21	4	1	1	2	5:6	4
7	B. Monchengladbach II	4	1	0	3	7:9	3
8	Middlesbrough U21	4	1	0	3	3:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nordsjaelland U21	4	3	1	0	10:5	10
2	Fulham U21	4	2	2	0	13:9	8
3	Hertha Berlin II	4	2	1	1	12:11	7
4	Sparta Prague U21	4	2	0	2	8:7	6
5	Norwich U21	4	2	0	2	6:7	6
6	Jong PSV	4	1	2	1	9:7	5
7	Manchester United U21	4	0	2	2	4:8	2
8	Liverpool U21	4	0	0	4	7:15	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brighton U21	4	4	0	0	8:0	12
2	Sporting CP B	4	3	0	1	9:4	9
3	Chelsea U21	4	2	0	2	9:7	6
4	Southampton U21	4	2	0	2	10:11	6
5	RB Leipzig II	4	2	0	2	7:10	6
6	Crystal Palace U21	4	1	1	2	7:7	4
7	Real Sociedad B	4	1	1	2	7:8	4
8	Anderlecht 2	4	0	0	4	2:12	0