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Chelsea U21 vs RB Leipzig II Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Premier League International Cup 2024/2025
Chelsea U21 Logo

Chelsea U21

2 - 4
FT
RB Leipzig II Logo

RB Leipzig II

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ramsak R.
Assist: Jatta N.
5' Event
Kellyman O.
46' Event
Kellyman O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-4, with RB Leipzig II advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Chelsea U21
15%
Draws
31%
RB Leipzig II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chelsea U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chelsea U21 come out ahead of RB Leipzig II on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Chelsea U21 taking it.
  • Chelsea U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor RB Leipzig II, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Chelsea U21 Clean Sheet 10%
RB Leipzig II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelsea U21 RB Leipzig II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 2 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2.2 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2024 Premier League International Cup
Chelsea U21 vs RB Leipzig II
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelsea U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kellyman O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.15

RB Leipzig II Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramsak R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Weissbach N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelsea U21 83 / 100
RB Leipzig II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelsea U21 RB Leipzig II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelsea U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chelsea U21's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

RB Leipzig II let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Chelsea U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chelsea U21 VS RB Leipzig II
3.38 Goals Scored 3
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelsea U21

(Home)
19 Sept
Chelsea U21
3 : 1
Fulham U21
15 Sept
Wycombe
2 : 1
Chelsea U21
12 Sept
Arsenal U21
1 : 4
Chelsea U21
31 Aug
Chelsea U21
5 : 4
West Ham U21
25 Aug
Bristol Rovers
2 : 3
Chelsea U21
Page 1 of 6

RB Leipzig II

(Away)
03 Feb
Southampton U21
0 : 3
RB Leipzig II
20 Jan
Everton U21
5 : 1
RB Leipzig II
14 Jan
Manchester City U21
3 : 1
RB Leipzig II
29 Sept
Wolves U21
1 : 1
RB Leipzig II
17 Jan
Crystal Palace U21
1 : 2
RB Leipzig II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valencia B 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
2 Nottingham U21 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Monaco II 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
4 Jong Ajax 4 2 0 2 9:4 6
5 Dinamo Zagreb 2 4 1 1 2 7:10 4
6 Reading U21 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
7 Tottenham U21 4 1 0 3 4:13 3
8 Wolves U21 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyon II 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
2 Ath Bilbao B 4 2 2 0 10:5 8
3 Sunderland U21 4 2 1 1 6:6 7
4 West Ham U21 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
5 Benfica B 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
6 Blackburn U21 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
7 B. Monchengladbach II 4 1 0 3 7:9 3
8 Middlesbrough U21 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nordsjaelland U21 4 3 1 0 10:5 10
2 Fulham U21 4 2 2 0 13:9 8
3 Hertha Berlin II 4 2 1 1 12:11 7
4 Sparta Prague U21 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
5 Norwich U21 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
6 Jong PSV 4 1 2 1 9:7 5
7 Manchester United U21 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
8 Liverpool U21 4 0 0 4 7:15 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
2 Sporting CP B 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Chelsea U21 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
4 Southampton U21 4 2 0 2 10:11 6
5 RB Leipzig II 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
6 Crystal Palace U21 4 1 1 2 7:7 4
7 Real Sociedad B 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
8 Anderlecht 2 4 0 0 4 2:12 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2024/2025 (Play Offs)