Sport Picks
Chelsea U21 vs Tottenham U21
England
Premier League 2 2025/2026 Kingsmeadow, London 
Match Events
4'
4'
Mheuka S.
Assist: Antwi G.
11'
11'
Dyer K.
35'
35'
Wilson K.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-3, with Tottenham U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chelsea U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tottenham U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Chelsea U21's way, sitting at 50%.
- Tottenham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Tottenham U21, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Tottenham U21 have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Chelsea U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Tottenham U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelsea U21 | Tottenham U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2026 Premier League 2
Chelsea U21 vs Tottenham U21
1:3
Aug 16, 2024 Premier League 2
Chelsea U21 vs Tottenham U21
1:2
May 19, 2024 Premier League 2
Tottenham U21 vs Chelsea U21
2:1
Oct 2, 2023 Premier League 2
Tottenham U21 vs Chelsea U21
4:2
Apr 24, 2023 Premier League 2
Tottenham U21 vs Chelsea U21
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chelsea U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Mheuka S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Tottenham U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Melia M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Russell-Denny R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chelsea U21 49 / 100
Tottenham U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chelsea U21 Tottenham U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelsea U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelsea U21 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Tottenham U21 has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
Chelsea U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Chelsea U21 VS Tottenham U21
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelsea U21
(Home) 21 Jul
Chelsea U21
0 : 0 Cardiff U21
01 May
Chelsea U21
1 : 3 Tottenham U21
25 Apr
Chelsea U21
1 : 0 Middlesbrough U21
10 Apr
Fulham U21
2 : 1 Chelsea U21
20 Mar
Wolves U21
0 : 4 Chelsea U21
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Chelsea U21
0 : 0 Cardiff U21
01 May
Chelsea U21
1 : 3 Tottenham U21
25 Apr
Chelsea U21
1 : 0 Middlesbrough U21
14 Mar
Chelsea U21
4 : 0 Sunderland U21
20 Feb
Chelsea U21
2 : 2 Leeds U21
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Tottenham U21
(Away) 04 Aug
Enfield Town
3 : 0 Tottenham U21
01 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 2 Tottenham U21
25 Jul
Hornchurch
3 : 1 Tottenham U21
21 Jul
Boreham Wood
2 : 1 Tottenham U21
08 May
Tottenham U21
1 : 3 Brighton U21
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04 Aug
Enfield Town
3 : 0 Tottenham U21
01 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 2 Tottenham U21
25 Jul
Hornchurch
3 : 1 Tottenham U21
21 Jul
Boreham Wood
2 : 1 Tottenham U21
01 May
Chelsea U21
1 : 3 Tottenham U21
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Chelsea U21 1
Middlesbrough U21 0
Tottenham U21 1
Leicester U21 0
Ipswich U21 1
Brighton U21 2
Fulham U21 2
West Ham U21 3
Southampton U21 3
Aston Villa U21 4
Manchester City U21 3
Arsenal U21 1
Liverpool U21 3
Crystal Palace U21 4
Manchester United U21 3
Sunderland U21 2
Quarter-finals
Chelsea U21 1
Tottenham U21 3
Brighton U21 3
West Ham U21 0
Aston Villa U21 2
Manchester City U21 3
Crystal Palace U21 0
Manchester United U21 2
Semi-finals
Tottenham U21 1
Brighton U21 3
Manchester City U21 3
Manchester United U21 4
Final
Brighton U21 1
Manchester United U21 0
