Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Fernandez E.
Assist: Neto P.
28'
28'
Porro P.
43'
43'
van de Ven M.
AI Match Summary
Chelsea in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelsea.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chelsea
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chelsea lately — more wins on the board than Tottenham.
- Win probability leans Chelsea's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Chelsea have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Chelsea Clean Sheet 68%
Tottenham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chelsea | Tottenham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Chelsea vs Tottenham
1:2
May 19, 2026 Premier League
Chelsea vs Tottenham
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
Tottenham vs Chelsea
0:1
Apr 3, 2025 Premier League
Chelsea vs Tottenham
1:0
Dec 8, 2024 Premier League
Tottenham vs Chelsea
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chelsea Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Santos A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Tottenham Compare
Top Goalscorer Richarlison
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chelsea 59 / 100
Tottenham 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chelsea Tottenham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelsea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Chelsea scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Tottenham let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Chelsea went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chelsea VS Tottenham
3.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Chelsea
(Home) 18 Sept
Brentford
3 : 0 Chelsea
12 Sept
Chelsea
2 : 2 Hull City
09 Sept
Chelsea
6 : 3 Leeds
06 Sept
Arsenal
2 : 1 Chelsea
30 Aug
Chelsea
4 : 3 Brighton
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Chelsea
2 : 2 Hull City
09 Sept
Chelsea
6 : 3 Leeds
30 Aug
Chelsea
4 : 3 Brighton
27 Aug
Chelsea
2 : 0 Luton
15 Aug
Chelsea
3 : 1 Real Sociedad
Page 1 of 4
Tottenham
(Away) 19 Sept
Tottenham
2 : 3 Aston Villa
15 Sept
Liverpool
3 : 1 Tottenham
12 Sept
Tottenham
0 : 0 Everton
05 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 0 Tottenham
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2 Newcastle Utd
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Liverpool
3 : 1 Tottenham
05 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 0 Tottenham
22 Aug
Brentford
3 : 0 Tottenham
01 Aug
Chelsea
1 : 2 Tottenham
26 Jul
Auckland FC
0 : 2 Tottenham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)
