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Chelsea W vs Tottenham W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

WSL Stamford Bridge, London
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chelsea W host Tottenham W in the WSL. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Chelsea W have averaged 2.48 scored and 0.82 conceded recently, against Tottenham W's 1.97 scored and 1.48 conceded. Past meetings favor Chelsea W slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.56) point toward Chelsea W. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Chelsea W
15%
Draws
35%
Tottenham W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chelsea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chelsea W lately — more wins on the board than Tottenham W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Chelsea W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Chelsea W Clean Sheet 68%
Tottenham W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelsea W Tottenham W
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 25 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.48 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Women’s FA Cup
Chelsea W vs Tottenham W
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 WSL
Tottenham W vs Chelsea W
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 WSL
Chelsea W vs Tottenham W
1:0
May 4, 2025 WSL
Tottenham W vs Chelsea W
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 WSL
Chelsea W vs Tottenham W
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelsea W 41 / 100
Tottenham W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelsea W Tottenham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelsea W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chelsea W scored in 91% of their last 33 outings.

Solid form: Chelsea W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Tottenham W let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Chelsea W VS Tottenham W
2.38 Goals Scored 2.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelsea W

(Home)
04 Oct
West Ham W
0 : 3
Chelsea W
30 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
0 : 0
Chelsea W
27 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Arsenal W
23 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Austria Vienna W
19 Sept
Chelsea W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
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Tottenham W

(Away)
04 Oct
Tottenham W
1 : 6
London City Lionesses W
30 Sept
Brighton W
0 : 1
Tottenham W
27 Sept
Tottenham W
4 : 0
Aston Villa W
23 Sept
Tottenham W
0 : 1
West Ham W
20 Sept
Crystal Palace W
0 : 7
Tottenham W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 5 5 0 0 16:6 15
2 Chelsea W 5 4 1 0 12:1 13
3 London City Lionesses W 5 4 0 1 15:5 12
4 Tottenham W 5 3 1 1 16:8 10
5 Everton W 5 3 0 2 4:4 9
6 Liverpool W 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
7 Manchester United W 5 2 1 2 5:9 7
8 Crystal Palace W 5 1 3 1 5:11 6
9 Brighton W 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
10 Arsenal W 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
11 West Ham W 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
12 Aston Villa W 5 0 3 2 4:11 3
13 Birmingham W 5 0 2 3 7:12 2
14 Charlton W 5 0 0 5 2:15 0
Relegation - WSL (Relegation)
Relegation - WSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)