Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cheltenham vs Cambridge Utd

England England

League Two 2025/2026 Whaddon Road, Cheltenham
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Kaikai S.
Assist: Jobe M.
59'
Ball D.
61'
Sub
Stevenson B. In: Young L.
Out: Stevenson B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cheltenham
35%
Draws
25%
Cambridge Utd
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cheltenham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Cheltenham haven't matched Cambridge Utd's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Cheltenham taking it.
  • Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Cheltenham Clean Sheet 68%
Cambridge Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheltenham Cambridge Utd
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 12
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.46 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.79 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 League Two
Cheltenham vs Cambridge Utd
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 League Two
Cambridge Utd vs Cheltenham
1:0
Dec 10, 2024 EFL Trophy
Cheltenham vs Cambridge Utd
2:1
Feb 10, 2024 League One
Cambridge Utd vs Cheltenham
0:1
Oct 21, 2023 League One
Cheltenham vs Cambridge Utd
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cheltenham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Cambridge Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaikai S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheltenham 50 / 100
Cambridge Utd 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheltenham Cambridge Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cheltenham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cheltenham's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Cheltenham remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Cambridge Utd has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cheltenham VS Cambridge Utd
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cheltenham

(Home)
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2
Grimsby
01 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2
York City
29 Aug
Barnet
2 : 2
Cheltenham
22 Aug
Swindon
2 : 1
Cheltenham
15 Aug
Cheltenham
2 : 1
Rotherham
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Cambridge Utd

(Away)
05 Sept
Burton
2 : 2
Cambridge Utd
01 Sept
Bradford City
1 : 2
Cambridge Utd
29 Aug
Cambridge Utd
1 : 2
Huddersfield
25 Aug
Cambridge Utd
0 : 1
Millwall
22 Aug
Bromley
1 : 1
Cambridge Utd
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bromley 46 24 15 7 71:46 87
2 Milton Keynes Dons 46 24 14 8 86:45 86
3 Cambridge Utd 46 22 16 8 66:33 82
4 Salford 46 25 6 15 61:51 81
5 Notts County 46 24 8 14 74:52 80
6 Chesterfield 46 21 16 9 71:56 79
7 Grimsby 46 22 12 12 74:50 78
8 Barnet 46 21 13 12 70:53 76
9 Swindon 46 22 9 15 70:59 75
10 Oldham 46 18 14 14 60:44 68
11 Crewe 46 19 10 17 64:58 67
12 Colchester 46 18 12 16 62:49 66
13 Walsall 46 18 11 17 56:56 65
14 Bristol Rovers 46 19 5 22 56:65 62
15 Fleetwood Town 46 15 16 15 57:58 61
16 Accrington 46 14 11 21 47:58 53
17 Gillingham 46 13 14 19 53:72 53
18 Cheltenham 46 14 10 22 53:79 52
19 Shrewsbury 46 13 10 23 42:69 49
20 Newport 46 12 7 27 48:77 43
21 Tranmere 46 10 11 25 54:79 41
22 Crawley Town 46 8 16 22 44:68 40
23 Harrogate 46 10 9 27 39:68 39
24 Barrow 46 9 9 28 45:78 36
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)