This match ends 3-2, with Cheltenham advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
Cheltenham
15%
Draws
42%
Tottenham U21
Draw rate projection: 15%Favored: Cheltenham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ High Confidence
Look at the last few games and Tottenham U21 come out ahead of Cheltenham on wins alone.
Model gives Cheltenham a 50% chance of winning this.
Tottenham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Cheltenham, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals44%
Over 4.5 Goals20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)76.6%
Cheltenham Clean Sheet16%
Tottenham U21 Clean Sheet10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Cheltenham
Tottenham U21
Matches Played
28
30
Wins
8
14
Draws
7
2
Losses
13
14
Goals Scored
1.5
1.5
Goals Conceded
1.5
1.25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50
1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.50
1.25
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 28, 2025EFL Trophy
CheltenhamvsTottenham U21
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cheltenham Compare
Top GoalscorerMartin J.
1 Goals
Assists LeaderTaylor T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game1.15
Avg xA / game0.75
Tottenham U21 Compare
Top GoalscorerIrow O.
1 Goals
Assists LeaderKyerematen R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game1.36
Avg xA / game0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cheltenham48 / 100
Tottenham U2122 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cheltenham Tottenham U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickCHE Win (1)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score2:1
BTTS OutcomeYes (GG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tottenham U21 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Attacking prowess: Cheltenham scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Tottenham U21's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.