Sport Picks
Cheltenham vs Tranmere
England
League Two 2025/2026 Whaddon Road, Cheltenham 
Match Events
40'
40'
Miller G.
47'
47'
Smith N.
64'
64'
Joseph J.
Assist: Negru S.
AI Match Summary
The League Two 2025/2026 game between Cheltenham and Tranmere finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tranmere.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tranmere
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cheltenham come out ahead of Tranmere on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Cheltenham Clean Sheet 16%
Tranmere Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cheltenham | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 0.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 21, 2026 League Two
Cheltenham vs Tranmere
1:3
Nov 15, 2025 League Two
Tranmere vs Cheltenham
3:2
Mar 28, 2025 League Two
Tranmere vs Cheltenham
2:0
Nov 22, 2024 League Two
Cheltenham vs Tranmere
1:0
Apr 2, 2021 League Two
Cheltenham vs Tranmere
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cheltenham Compare
Top Goalscorer Miller G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Tranmere Compare
Top Goalscorer Smith N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Joseph J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cheltenham 31 / 100
Tranmere 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cheltenham Tranmere
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tranmere has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Cheltenham found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Solid form: Cheltenham remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Cheltenham VS Tranmere
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cheltenham
(Home) 08 Aug
Cheltenham
1 : 3 Charlton
01 Aug
Cheltenham
0 : 2 Milton Keynes Dons
18 Jul
Evesham
0 : 3 Cheltenham
02 May
Cheltenham
1 : 4 Colchester
25 Apr
Bristol Rovers
4 : 0 Cheltenham
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Cheltenham
1 : 3 Charlton
01 Aug
Cheltenham
0 : 2 Milton Keynes Dons
02 May
Cheltenham
1 : 4 Colchester
21 Apr
Cheltenham
1 : 3 Tranmere
18 Apr
Cheltenham
1 : 0 Newport
Page 1 of 4
Tranmere
(Away) 01 Aug
Tranmere
2 : 3 Rochdale
18 Jul
Tranmere
2 : 0 Blackpool
02 May
Tranmere
1 : 1 Grimsby
25 Apr
Milton Keynes Dons
3 : 0 Tranmere
21 Apr
Cheltenham
1 : 3 Tranmere
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Milton Keynes Dons
3 : 0 Tranmere
21 Apr
Cheltenham
1 : 3 Tranmere
11 Apr
Chesterfield
1 : 1 Tranmere
03 Apr
Shrewsbury
1 : 0 Tranmere
14 Mar
Fleetwood Town
0 : 0 Tranmere
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
