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Cheltenham W vs Exeter W

England England

Women's National League South
Cheltenham W Logo

Cheltenham W

4 - 4
FT
Exeter W Logo

Exeter W

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Women's National League South matchup, with the score ending 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cheltenham W
30%
Draws
47%
Exeter W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Exeter W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Exeter W lately — more wins on the board than Cheltenham W.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Cheltenham W Clean Sheet 10%
Exeter W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheltenham W Exeter W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs Exeter W
4:4
Dec 7, 2025 Women's National League South
Exeter W vs Cheltenham W
0:4
Aug 17, 2025 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs Exeter W
0:2
Mar 23, 2025 Women's National League South
Exeter W vs Cheltenham W
2:1
Oct 13, 2024 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs Exeter W
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheltenham W 30 / 100
Exeter W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheltenham W Exeter W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Cheltenham W's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Exeter W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Cheltenham W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cheltenham W VS Exeter W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cheltenham W

(Home)
13 Sept
Cheltenham W
4 : 4
Exeter W
30 Aug
Oxford Utd W
5 : 0
Cheltenham W
23 Aug
Bournemouth W
2 : 1
Cheltenham W
16 Aug
Cheltenham W
1 : 3
Real Bedford W
26 Apr
Billericay W
0 : 5
Cheltenham W
Page 1 of 6

Exeter W

(Away)
13 Sept
Cheltenham W
4 : 4
Exeter W
30 Aug
Exeter W
3 : 1
Lewes W
23 Aug
Hashtag W
1 : 1
Exeter W
16 Aug
Exeter W
0 : 4
Oxford Utd W
02 Aug
Exeter W
2 : 1
Cardiff City W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oxford Utd W 4 4 0 0 17:0 12
2 Fulham W 4 4 0 0 12:2 12
3 Bournemouth W 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
4 Portsmouth W 3 2 0 1 8:1 6
5 AFC Wimbledon W 3 2 0 1 8:1 6
6 Real Bedford W 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
7 Exeter W 4 1 2 1 8:10 5
8 Swindon W 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
9 Lewes W 4 0 2 2 3:8 2
10 Hashtag W 4 0 2 2 3:11 2
11 Cheltenham W 4 0 1 3 6:14 1
12 Plymouth W 4 0 0 4 2:19 0
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