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Cheltenham W vs London Bees W

England England

Women's National League South 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cheltenham W play London Bees W in the Women's National League South 2022/2023. Cheltenham W are favorites here. Recently, Cheltenham W averaged 1.69 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. London Bees W averaged 1.37 goals scored and 3.5 conceded. In past meetings, Cheltenham W won 3, London Bees W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 10, 2024 ended 3:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Cheltenham W and 2.50 for London Bees W. This points to a Cheltenham W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Cheltenham W
15%
Draws
26%
London Bees W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cheltenham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Cheltenham W picked up more points recently compared to London Bees W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 2.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Cheltenham W Clean Sheet 10%
London Bees W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheltenham W London Bees W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 3 3
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.69 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.25 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Women's National League South
London Bees W vs Cheltenham W
3:6
Sep 3, 2023 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs London Bees W
3:2
Mar 18, 2023 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs London Bees W
0:1
Oct 2, 2022 Women's National League South
London Bees W vs Cheltenham W
2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheltenham W 55 / 100
London Bees W 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheltenham W London Bees W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cheltenham W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Cheltenham W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.6%
1.96
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cheltenham W attacking → ← attacking London Bees W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cheltenham W scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

London Bees W let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.25 goals.

Cheltenham W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

London Bees W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 21
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 3.25
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Watford W22172365:1753
2Ipswich W22172348:1153
3Oxford Utd W22163353:1551
4Portsmouth W22152544:2047
5Milton Keynes Dons W22931038:4230
6Billericay W22841037:4128
7Chatham W22841023:2928
8Cheltenham W22741129:5025
9London Bees W22721322:4123
10Plymouth W22611523:4519
11Bridgwater United W22351420:4314
12Haywards Heath W22141713:617