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Cheltenham W vs Plymouth W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's National League South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Women's National League South game between Cheltenham W and Plymouth W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cheltenham W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Cheltenham W
20%
Draws
0%
Plymouth W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cheltenham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Plymouth W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Cheltenham W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Cheltenham W Clean Sheet 10%
Plymouth W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheltenham W Plymouth W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.43 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs Plymouth W
4:1
Mar 15, 2026 Women's National League South
Plymouth W vs Cheltenham W
3:0
Oct 5, 2025 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs Plymouth W
0:2
Nov 17, 2024 Women's National League South
Plymouth W vs Cheltenham W
0:2
Aug 18, 2024 Women's National League South
Cheltenham W vs Plymouth W
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheltenham W 83 / 100
Plymouth W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheltenham W Plymouth W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cheltenham W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Plymouth W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Cheltenham W's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Plymouth W conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Cheltenham W VS Plymouth W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Cheltenham W

(Home)
04 Oct
Cheltenham W
2 : 2
Hashtag W
20 Sept
Lewes W
3 : 0
Cheltenham W
13 Sept
Cheltenham W
4 : 4
Exeter W
30 Aug
Oxford Utd W
5 : 0
Cheltenham W
23 Aug
Bournemouth W
2 : 1
Cheltenham W
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Plymouth W

(Away)
04 Oct
Plymouth W
1 : 3
Real Bedford W
20 Sept
Oxford Utd W
5 : 0
Plymouth W
13 Sept
Plymouth W
0 : 4
Portsmouth W
30 Aug
Fulham W
5 : 0
Plymouth W
23 Aug
Plymouth W
0 : 6
AFC Wimbledon W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oxford Utd W 6 6 0 0 23:0 18
2 Bournemouth W 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
3 Fulham W 5 4 0 1 13:4 12
4 Portsmouth W 5 3 1 1 10:1 10
5 Real Bedford W 6 3 0 3 9:11 9
6 Exeter W 6 2 2 2 10:12 8
7 AFC Wimbledon W 4 2 1 1 8:1 7
8 Lewes W 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
9 Hashtag W 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
10 Swindon W 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
11 Cheltenham W 6 0 2 4 8:19 2
12 Plymouth W 6 0 0 6 3:27 0
Promotion - Women's National League Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)