Sport Picks

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Cheltenham W vs Southampton Women's W

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2021/2022 Whaddon Road
Sun, Nov 28, 2021
3 - 4
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cheltenham W play Southampton Women's W in the Women’s FA Cup 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cheltenham W averaged 1.73 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. Southampton Women's W averaged 1.9 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. In past meetings, Cheltenham W won 0, Southampton Women's W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 28, 2021 ended 3:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Cheltenham W and 1.25 for Southampton Women's W. This points to a Southampton Women's W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Cheltenham W
15%
Draws
53%
Southampton Women's W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Southampton Women's W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Cheltenham W picked up more points recently compared to Southampton Women's W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Cheltenham W Clean Sheet 19%
Southampton Women's W Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cheltenham W Southampton Women's W
Matches Played 33 10
Wins 13 6
Draws 3 0
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 1.73 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.3 2.3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2021 Women’s FA Cup
Cheltenham W vs Southampton Women's W
3:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cheltenham W 33 / 100
Southampton Women's W 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cheltenham W Southampton Women's W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southampton Women's W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Southampton Women's W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cheltenham W attacking → ← attacking Southampton Women's W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cheltenham W scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Southampton Women's W let in goals in 70% of their last 10 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Cheltenham W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Southampton Women's W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 18
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00