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Chelyabinsk 2 vs Dynamo Barnaul - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Borisov G.
11' Event
Vorona N.
37' Event
Zyryanov N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Dynamo Barnaul in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dynamo Barnaul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Chelyabinsk 2
15%
Draws
34%
Dynamo Barnaul
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chelyabinsk 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dynamo Barnaul lately — more wins on the board than Chelyabinsk 2.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Chelyabinsk 2 Clean Sheet 11%
Dynamo Barnaul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chelyabinsk 2 Dynamo Barnaul
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.83 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Chelyabinsk 2 vs Dynamo Barnaul
2:3
May 24, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Dynamo Barnaul vs Chelyabinsk 2
0:0
Aug 2, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Chelyabinsk 2 vs Dynamo Barnaul
0:0
Apr 26, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Dynamo Barnaul vs Chelyabinsk 2
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chelyabinsk 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Borisov G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Dynamo Barnaul Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolmakov R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vorona N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chelyabinsk 2 29 / 100
Dynamo Barnaul 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chelyabinsk 2 Dynamo Barnaul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chelyabinsk 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dynamo Barnaul conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Dynamo Barnaul lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Chelyabinsk 2 found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Chelyabinsk 2 VS Dynamo Barnaul
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chelyabinsk 2

(Home)
04 Oct
Rubin Kazan 2
1 : 0
Chelyabinsk 2
27 Sept
Chelyabinsk 2
3 : 2
Ural 2
20 Sept
Nosta
3 : 0
Chelyabinsk 2
13 Sept
Chelyabinsk 2
1 : 2
FK Izhevsk
06 Sept
Chelyabinsk 2
1 : 0
Rubin Kazan 2
Page 1 of 6

Dynamo Barnaul

(Away)
04 Oct
Akron Togliatti 2
2 : 0
Dynamo Barnaul
25 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
2 : 2
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
20 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
1 : 2
Dynamo Barnaul
14 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
1 : 2
KDV Tomsk
10 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
0 : 2
Chelyabinsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khimik 22 18 2 2 57:16 56
2 KDV Tomsk 22 17 2 3 40:20 53
3 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 22 13 4 5 51:33 43
4 Akron Togliatti 2 22 10 2 10 46:34 32
5 Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 22 6 9 7 25:26 27
6 Dynamo Barnaul 22 7 5 10 31:50 26
7 Orenburg 2 22 6 8 8 31:35 26
8 FK Izhevsk 22 5 8 9 30:32 23
9 Ural 2 22 5 7 10 34:44 22
10 Rubin Kazan 2 22 4 8 10 25:35 20
11 Nosta 22 4 6 12 20:48 18
12 Chelyabinsk 2 22 4 5 13 19:36 17
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Championship Group)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Relegation Group)